Diabetes, Obesity and Metabolism
○ Wiley
Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Diabetes, Obesity and Metabolism's content profile, based on 17 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.02% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Ciudin Mihai, A.; Baker, J. L.; Belancic, A.; Busetto, L.; Dicker, D.; Fabryova, L.; Fruhbeck, G.; Goossens, G. H.; Gordon, J.; Monami, M.; Sbraccia, P.; Martinez Tellez, B.; Yumuk, V.; McGowan, B.
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This updated systematic review and network meta-analysis evaluated the efficacy and safety of obesity management medications (OMMs) in terms of reducing body weight and obesity related complications. Medline and Embase were searched up to 21 November 2025 for randomized controlled trials comparing OMMs versus placebo or active comparators in adults. The primary endpoint was percentage total body weight loss (TBWL%) at the end of the study. Secondary endpoints were TBWL% at 1, 2 and 3 years, anthropometric, metabolic, mental health and quality of life outcomes, cardiovascular morbidity and mortality, remission of obesity related complications, serious adverse events and all cause mortality. Sixty six RCTs (66 comparisons) were identified: orlistat (22), semaglutide (18), liraglutide (11), tirzepatide (8), naltrexone/bupropion (5) and phentermine/topiramate (2), enrolling 63,909 patients (34,861 and 29,048 with active compound and placebo, respectively). All OMMs showed significantly greater TBWL% versus placebo; tirzepatide and semaglutide exceeded 10% TBWL and showed the most favourable glycaemic effects. Semaglutide reduced major adverse cardiovascular events and all cause mortality. In dedicated complication specific trials, semaglutide and tirzepatide showed benefit on heart failure related outcomes; tirzepatide was associated with improved obstructive sleep apnoea syndrome and semaglutide with knee osteoarthritis pain remission. Tirzepatide and semaglutide were associated with improvements in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis remission, and semaglutide with improvement in liver fibrosis. No OMMs were associated with an increased risk of serious adverse events. These updated results reinforce the need to individualize OMMs selection according to weight loss efficacy, complication profile and safety.
Goryanin, I.; Damms, B.; Goryanin, I.
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Background: Ageing is a systems level biological process underlying the onset and progression of multiple chronic disorders. Rather than arising from a single pathway, age related decline reflects interacting disturbances in metabolic regulation, inflammation, nutrient sensing, cellular stress responses, and tissue repair. Although GLP1 receptor agonists, sodium glucose cotransporter2 inhibitors, metformin, and rapamycin are usually evaluated against disease-specific endpoints. Objective: To develop an SBML compliant quantitative systems pharmacology model in which ageing is the primary pharmacological endpoint and to evaluate which combination therapy provides the greatest benefit for both metabolic and ageing related outcomes. Methods: We developed model comprising four layers: a metabolic/pharmacodynamic layer describing weight loss, HbA1c reduction, and nausea with tolerance; a drug layer capturing class-specific effects of GLP1 agonists, sodium glucose cotransporter2 inhibitors, metformin, and rapamycin; an ageing layer representing damage accumulation, repair capacity, frailty, and biological age gap; and a biomarker layer generating trajectories and estimated glucose disposal rate. Calibration was staged across semaglutide clinical endpoints. Bayesian hierarchical meta analysis, global sensitivity analysis, and practical identifiability analysis were used to assess robustness and interpretability. Results: The model reproduced semaglutide efficacy and tolerability dynamics and supported distinct drug-class profiles across metabolic and ageing axes. Rapamycin showed minimal glycaemic effect but emerged as a dominant driver of repair related ageing outcomes. Combination simulations predicted two distinct optima: one favouring metabolic improvement and one favouring ageing related benefit. Conclusion: The model supports the view that metabolic and ageing optimization are mechanistically distinct objectives and that weight loss and glycaemic improvement alone may be insufficient surrogates for health span benefit.
Zhang, R.
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Aims The oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) is effective for detecting post-load dysglycemia, but it is burdensome and therefore not routinely used. Continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) offers a convenient way to capture real-world glucose patterns, yet it remains unclear whether CGM-derived metrics reflect OGTT-defined dysglycemia. We therefore aimed to evaluate CGM-derived and clinical metrics for predicting OGTT 2-hour glucose, classifying OGTT-defined dysglycemia, and assessing day-to-day repeatability. Methods We analyzed a cohort with paired free-living CGM and OGTT. Multiple CGM-derived metrics and clinical measures were compared for prediction of OGTT 2-hour glucose, classification of OGTT-defined dysglycemia, and day-to-day stability. Predictive performance was assessed primarily by leave-one-out (LOO) R^2, and day-to-day repeatability by intraclass correlation coefficients (ICC). Results The glycemic persistence index (GPI), a metric integrating the magnitude and duration of glycemic elevation, was the strongest single predictor of OGTT 2-hour glucose (LOO R^2 = 0.439). GPI also showed strong day-to-day repeatability (ICC = 0.665) and ranked first on a combined prediction-stability score. For classification of OGTT-defined dysglycemia, HbA1c had a slightly higher AUC than GPI, but GPI plus HbA1c performed best overall, indicating complementary information. Conclusions GPI was a strong predictor of OGTT 2-hour glucose and showed a favorable balance between predictive performance and day-to-day stability, supporting its potential utility as a CGM-derived marker of dysglycemia.
Zhang, H.; Dromard, E.; Tsang, K. C. H.; Guemes, A.; Guo, Z.; Baldeweg, S. E.; Li, K.
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Non-invasive glucose monitoring (NIGM) has been pursued for decades, yet no device has achieved regulatory approval despite numerous studies reporting high accuracy. This systematic review and meta-analysis of 32 studies (38 cohorts: 20 NIGM, 18 iCGM; N = 1,693) investigated methodological factors underlying this accuracy-regulatory gap. The pooled Mean Absolute Relative Difference (MARD) for NIGM (10.21%; 95% CI: 8.73-11.69%) showed no significant difference from iCGM (11.82%; 95% CI: 10.36-13.29%; p = 0.13), with extreme heterogeneity (I^2 = 95.2%). Meta-regression revealed that study duration was the strongest predictor of NIGM accuracy ({beta} = 3.94, p < 0.001), with MARD degrading from 8.7% in short-term to 15.2% in long-term studies, while iCGM accuracy remained stable. Only 15% of NIGM cohorts validated in the hypoglycemia range, compared to 89% of iCGM studies (p < 0.001). These findings suggest that reported NIGM accuracy is substantially influenced by methodological asymmetries.
Koh, H. J. W.; Trin, C.; Ademi, Z.; Zomer, E.; Berkovic, D.; Cataldo Miranda, P.; Gibson, B.; Bell, J. S.; Ilomaki, J.; Liew, D.; Reid, C.; Lybrand, S.; Gasevic, D.; Earnest, A.; Gasevic, D.; Talic, S.
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BackgroundNon-adherence to lipid-lowering therapy (LLT) affects up to half of patients and contributes substantially to preventable cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. Existing measures, such as the proportion of days covered, provide cross-sectional summaries but fail to capture the dynamic patterns of adherence over time. Although group-based trajectory modelling identifies distinct longitudinal adherence patterns, no approach currently predicts trajectory membership prospectively while incorporating patient-reported barriers. We developed BRIDGE, a barrier-informed Bayesian model to predict adherence trajectories and identify their underlying drivers. MethodsBRIDGE incorporates patient-reported barriers as structured prior information within a Bayesian framework for adherence-trajectory prediction. The model was designed not only to estimate which patients are likely to follow different adherence trajectories, but also to generate clinically interpretable probability estimates that help explain why those trajectories may arise and what modifiable factors may be most relevant for intervention. ResultsBRIDGE achieved a macro AUROC of 0.809 (95% CI 0.806 to 0.813), comparable to random forest (0.815 (95% CI 0.812 to 0.819)) and XGBoost (0.821 (95% CI 0.818 to 0.824)), two widely used machine-learning benchmarks for structured clinical prediction. Calibration was superior to random forest (Brier score 0.530 vs 0.545; ), and performance was stable across six independent training runs (AUROC SD = 0.003). Incorporating barrier-informed priors improved accuracy by 3.5% and calibration by 5.5% compared to flat priors, showing that incorporation of patient-reported barriers added value beyond electronic medical record data alone. Four clinically distinct adherence trajectories were identified: gradual decline associated with treatment deprioritisation amid polypharmacy (10.4%), early discontinuation linked to asymptomatic risk dismissal (40.5%), rapid decline associated with intolerance (28.8%), and persistent adherence (20.2%). Counterfactual analysis identified trajectory-specific intervention levers. ConclusionsBRIDGE provides accurate and well-calibrated prediction of adherence trajectories while offering clinically actionable insights into their underlying drivers. By integrating patient-reported barriers with routine clinical data, the model supports targeted, mechanism-informed interventions at the point of prescribing to improve adherence to cardioprotective therapies. FundingMRFF CVD Mission Grant 2017451 Evidence before this studyWe searched PubMed and Scopus from database inception to December 2025 using the terms "medication adherence", "trajectory", "prediction model", "Bayesian", "lipid-lowering therapy", and "barriers", with no language restrictions. Group-based trajectory modelling has consistently identified three to five adherence patterns across cardiovascular cohorts; however, these applications have been descriptive rather than predictive. Machine-learning models for adherence prediction achieve moderate discrimination but treat adherence as a binary or continuous outcome, thereby overlooking the clinically meaningful heterogeneity captured by trajectory approaches. One prior study applied a Bayesian dynamic linear model to examine adherence-outcome associations, but it did not predict adherence trajectories or incorporate patient-reported barriers. To our knowledge, no published model integrates patient-reported barriers into trajectory prediction. Added value of this studyBRIDGE is, to our knowledge, the first model to incorporate patient-reported adherence barriers as hierarchical domain-informed priors within a Bayesian framework for trajectory prediction. Using 108 predictors derived from routine electronic medical records, the model achieves discrimination comparable to state-of-the-art machine-learning approaches while additionally providing uncertainty quantification, barrier-level interpretability, and counterfactual insights to inform intervention strategies. The identified trajectories differed not only in adherence level but also in switching behaviour, drug-class evolution, and medication burden, suggesting distinct underlying mechanisms of non-adherence that may require tailored clinical responses. Implications of all the available evidenceEach adherence trajectory implies a distinct intervention target: asymptomatic risk communication for early discontinuers (40.5% of patients), proactive tolerability management for rapid decliners, medication simplification for patients with gradual decline associated with polypharmacy, and maintenance support for persistent adherers. By integrating routinely collected clinical data with patient-reported barriers, BRIDGE can be deployed within existing primary care EMR infrastructure to generate actionable, trajectory and patient--specific recommendations at the point of prescribing, helping to bridge the gap between adherence measurement and targeted adherence management.
Mhino, F. M.; Ndanga, A.; Chivandire, T.; Sekanevana, C.; Mpandaguta, C. E.; Mwanza, T.; Mutengerere, A.; Scott, S.; Chimberengwa, P.; Dixon, J.; Ndhlovu, C. E.; Seeley, J.; Chingono, R. M. S.; Sabapathy, K.
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IntroductionOver one billion people worldwide have hypertension. In Zimbabwe, prevalence is an estimated 38%, surpassing the global average of 34%, and >50% of hypertensives are undiagnosed. The Community BP groups (Com-BP) study examined whether community groups of people living with hypertension, provided with BP machines and led by trained Facilitators could improve awareness, screening and support for those diagnosed with hypertension, to help blood pressure (BP) control. We present findings from the quantitative evaluation of the Com-BP pilot intervention. MethodsThe acceptability of the Com-BP intervention, its potential effectiveness in improving knowledge, attitudes and practices (KAP) and in reducing BP among hypertensive adults in Zimbabwe, was evaluated. Cross-sectional surveys using standardised questionnaires, and BP and Body Mass Index (BMI) assessments, were done at the start and end of the pilot intervention. Statistical evidence of difference between baseline and follow-up was examined using Wilcoxon signed-rank test for continuous data and McNemars test for categorical data. ResultsFourteen groups (seven urban and seven rural) were formed and 151 participants joined over a median of 5months. Retention in the groups was 97.9% (137/140 recruited at baseline), with approximately equal numbers from the urban and rural sites. Median age at baseline was 54 years (IQR 45-66y; min-max 30-92y) and the majority (79%, n=108) were female. Most participants (82.5%, n=113) rated their experience of the group sessions as excellent. The proportions of participants with changes in KAP from baseline to endline were as follows: 45.3% (n=62) to 81.0% (n=111) (p=0.004) able to identify at least two pre-disposing factors for hypertension; 65.0% (n=89) to 77.4% (n=106) (p=0.02) reporting [≥]1day of vigorous physical activity/week; 28.5% (n=39) to 13.9% (n=19) (p=0.001) reporting salt added to meals at the table. There was no statistical evidence of any difference in medication adherence, p=0.06. The proportion of participants with uncontrolled hypertension was 58.1% (n=79) at baseline and reduced to 31.8% (n=43) at follow-up (p<0.001). DiscussionCommunity groups for improving awareness, detection and support are acceptable and led to improvements in self-reported KAP and prevalence of uncontrolled BP. Further research on the sustainability and impact of the intervention is required.
Di Somma, S.; Gervais, R.; Bains, M.; Carter-Williams, S.; Messner, S.; Onsongo, N.
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Background: Chronic conditions such as hypertension can significantly disrupt daily life and emotional wellbeing. The interaction between patients' perceptions, adherence to antihypertensive medication and quality of life (QoL) remains underexplored outside structured clinical settings. Objectives: To capture unprompted patient perspectives and assess whether hypertension affects QoL and to investigate if patient reported experiences are associated with self-reported antihypertensive medication adherence. Methods: Social media listening (SML) study analyzing 86,368 anonymized posts from individuals with hypertension in 12 countries, collected between January 2022 and May 2024. Posts from 11 countries (n=81,368) were analyzed using artificial intelligence-enabled natural language processing. Posts from China (n=5,000) were analyzed separately using a harmonized framework. Quantitative and qualitative methods assessed variations by country, age, and gender, and associations between emotional expression and antihypertensive medication adherence. Results: Across the 11-country core sample, 45% of posts mentioned at least one QoL impact, most commonly worry/anxiety (11%). Impacts varied across countries. Among 8,096 posts with age identified, individuals <40 years reported emotional balance impacts in 28% of posts versus 22% among those aged 40+. Work/Education impacts were mentioned in 17% of posts by those <40 years vs 12% in 40+. Among 7968 posts explicitly referencing adherence, expressed worry was associated with stricter adherence (62% association score), as were structured routines (79% score), home monitoring (77%), dietary changes (77%), and exercise (71%). In contrast, sadness/depression was associated with inconsistent adherence (71%), as were forgetfulness (79%), side effects (73%), and cost/insurance concerns (65%). Conclusions: These results emphasize the importance of the psychological and emotional impact of hypertension, including on adherence to medication regimens, reinforcing the value of a holistic approach to patient care.
Song, W.; Zhang, J.; Zhipeng, W.; Sun, P.; Ke, Z.; Chenzhen, X.; chuanjie, Y.; Zhang, Y.; Li, L.; He, L.; Yu, J.; Lai, Y.; Cui, H.; Ren, C.
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Abstract Aims: While traditional anthropometric indices are established cardiovascular predictors, their prognostic value for incident infective endocarditis (IE) remains undefined. Methods: We included 386,859 participants (mean age 57.0 years; 52.9% female) from the UK Biobank between 2006 and 2010 with standardized baseline data on BMI, waist circumference (WC), waist-to-height ratio (WhtR), and the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index.Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models with restricted cubic splines were used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) of these indices, adjusting for demographic and clinical risk factors. Results: Over 16.87 median years (25th, 16.02; 75th, 17.60 percentile) of follow-up, there were a total of 1,124 incident IE events. During the follow-up period, 38,342 total deaths were recorded, of which 8,524 were cardiovascular disease (CVD)-related.Overall, compared to individuals with normal weight and baseline metabolic indices, those in the fourth quartile of WC, WHtR, and TyG index exhibited the highest risk of incident IE. Compared to other metabolic indices, WC (HR = 1.53, 95% CI 1.23?1.90,P < 0.001) and WHtR (HR = 1.46, 95% CI 1.20?1.78,P < 0.001) demonstrated higher relative increases in risk associated with IE. Furthermore, the risk of IE was significantly elevated among the younger population with abdominal obesity and concomitant diabetes. However, no significant increase in IE risk was observed among participants with pre-existing valvular heart disease (P = 0.796). Conclusion: Compared with BMI, higher WC and WHtR were robustly associated with increased risk of IE, even after adjusting for traditional risk factors. Furthermore, the risk of IE was markedly elevated among younger individuals with abdominal obesity and diabetes.
murugadoss, k.; Venkatakrishnan, A.; Soundararajan, V.
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GLP-1 receptor agonists have reshaped obesity therapeutics, but their impact on neuropsychiatric outcomes remains poorly characterized. From 29 million patients in a large federated data platform across the USA, including 489,785 semaglutide treated patients, we conducted an observational study integrating longitudinal neuropsychiatric outcomes. From this population, we assembled a cohort of 63,215 patients with baseline neuropsychiatric conditions before treatment initiation and evaluated 24 incident neuropsychiatric outcomes. In propensity-matched comparator analyses, during the 2 year time-period from treatment initiation, semaglutide was associated with broadly lower neuropsychiatric event risk than metformin, SGLT2 inhibitors, and DPP-4 inhibitors. Within the semaglutide-treated cohort, higher attained dose during the first two years after the first prescription ("pre-landmark period") was associated with significantly lower incidence during the following two years ("post-landmark period") of diagnostic codes associated with substance-related disorders (P<0.001), mood disorders (P<0.001), anxiety- and stress-related disorders (P<0.001), CNS atrophies (P<0.001), neuromuscular disorders (P=0.013), eating/sleep/behavioral disorders (P=0.022), and personality/impulse-control disorders (P=0.028). Consistent with previous clinical trials, the post-landmark incidence of dementia or CNS degenerative diseases was similar between the high-dose and low-dose semaglutide cohorts (P=0.15). For most neuropsychiatric diagnoses, post-landmark incidence was strongly associated with the maximum attained semaglutide dose during the pre-landmark period, but incident cognitive symptoms and speech/language symptoms were more closely linked to the pre-landmark weight-loss magnitude (p<0.001 and p<0.003, respectively). Bulk and single-cell transcriptomic analyses demonstrated GLP1R expression in CNS tissues (hypothalamus, caudate, putamen, nucleus accumbens, cerebellum) and peripheral nerves. Age-associated heterogeneity in GLP1R expression was evident in several of these compartments including the caudate nucleus, suggesting dynamic changes in the availability of the neurobiological substrate for semaglutide response. Together, these data support a model in which semaglutide confers a sustained, dose-dependent, weight loss-independent benefit across multiple neuropsychiatric conditions via direct CNS target engagement. This observational study motivates prospective clinical studies and mechanistic analyses to clarify the impact of GLP-1 receptor agonists on human neuropsychiatric pathways and disease processes.
Duddu, R.
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Objectives: To examine the pattern, magnitude, and demographic distribution of measurable improvements across five outcome parameters following three monthly pharmacist-led nutritional counselling sessions delivered to community-dwelling participants in semi-urban India. Design: Secondary analysis of interventional follow-up data from a prospective community-based study. Setting: Schools and colleges in Narasaraopeta, Andhra Pradesh, India, from September 2021 to March 2022. Participants: Of 1,200 participants assessed at baseline, 1,135 (94.6%) completed at least one counselling session and formed the analysis cohort. The age range was 10 to 60 years. The majority of participants, 92.4%, were aged between 11 and 20 years. All 1,135 were anaemic at baseline. Interventions: Three structured monthly counselling sessions were delivered by pharmacy students under qualified faculty pharmacist supervision. Each session included individualised dietary guidance, lifestyle modification advice, and culturally adapted written health education materials. Primary and secondary outcome measures: Cumulative proportion of participants achieving measurable improvement in body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), hip circumference (HC), waist to hip ratio (WHR), and haemoglobin (Hb) concentration at each session, stratified by age group and sex. Results: All five parameters showed progressive cumulative improvement across sessions. By session three, 44 participants (3.6%) showed improved BMI, 39 (3.25%) achieved reduced WC, 34 (2.8%) reduced HC, 33 (2.75%) improved WHR, and 115 (9.5%) demonstrated improved Hb. Adolescents aged 11 to 20 years were consistently the most responsive subgroup. Haemoglobin showed the steepest improvement trajectory, rising from 1.75% at session one to 9.5% at session three, representing a 5.4 fold increase achieved through dietary counselling alone without pharmacological supplementation. Conclusions: Three monthly pharmacist led nutritional counselling sessions produce measurable and progressive improvements in both anthropometric and haematological outcomes in community settings. Adolescents are the most responsive population. These findings support the integration of pharmacists into community non communicable disease prevention programmes in India and provide a replicable low resource model applicable to comparable global settings.
Hesen, S.; Kassem, K. F.; salah, M. S.
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Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is a progressive metabolic disorder characterized by persistent hyperglycemia, insulin resistance, and chronic low-grade inflammation. Despite the widespread use of established therapies such as metformin, long-term glycemic control remains suboptimal, and disease progression is often not adequately prevented. This highlights the need for novel therapeutic strategies that address both metabolic dysfunction and the underlying immunometabolic components of the disease. In this study, GLX10 (GLXM100) was evaluated as a novel immune modulator in a high-fat diet (HFD) and low-dose streptozotocin (STZ)-induced rat model of T2DM over a 91-day period. Glycemic outcomes were assessed using terminal random blood glucose and oral glucose tolerance testing (OGTT), with glucose exposure quantified by area under the curve (AUC 0-120). Complementary in vitro investigations were performed in hepatic and macrophage cell models to assess cytocompatibility, nitric oxide production, and modulation of pro-inflammatory cytokines, including IL-6 and TNF-. GLX10 treatment resulted in a significant reduction in random blood glucose levels and a marked improvement in glucose tolerance compared to diabetic control animals. Importantly, GLX10 demonstrated greater improvement in OGTT AUC compared to metformin under the same experimental conditions, indicating enhanced dynamic glucose regulation. In vitro, GLX10 maintained viability in normal hepatic cells while significantly suppressing nitric oxide production and inflammatory cytokine outputs in macrophages, supporting a favorable safety and immune profile. Collectively, these findings demonstrate that GLX10 exerts robust antidiabetic activity through a dual mechanism involving metabolic regulation and suppression of inflammatory signaling. The integration of in vivo efficacy with supportive in vitro safety and mechanistic data provides a strong preclinical foundation and supports the further development of GLX10 as a promising therapeutic candidate for T2DM.
Yang, H.; Liu, Y.; Kim, C.; Huang, C.; Sawano, M.; Young, P.; McPadden, J.; Anderson, M.; Burrows, J. S.; Krumholz, H. M.; Brush, J. E.; Lu, Y.
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BackgroundHypertension is the leading modifiable risk factor for ischemic stroke, yet the adequacy of preventative hypertension care in routine clinical practice remains suboptimal. Whether gaps in hypertension management represent missed opportunities for stroke prevention remains unclear. ObjectiveTo evaluate the association between hypertension care delivery and the risk of incident ischemic stroke. MethodsWe conducted a retrospective, matched, nested case-control study among adults with hypertension using electronic health record data from a large regional health system (2010-2024). Patients with a first-ever ischemic stroke were matched 1:2 to controls on age, sex, race and ethnicity, and calendar time. Three care metrics were assessed during follow-up: (1) outpatient visits with blood pressure (BP) measurement per year; (2) number of antihypertensive medication ingredients; and (3) medication intensification score. Conditional logistic regression estimated adjusted odds ratios (aORs). ResultsThe study included 13,476 cases and 26,952 matched controls (N = 40,428). Mean (SD) age was 64.8 (12.2) years, 54.1% were female, and mean follow-up was 2,497 (1,308) days. Cases had fewer BP visits per year (median, 2.50 vs. 3.01; p < 0.001), similar number of medication ingredients (2.00 vs 2.00), and lower treatment intensification scores (-0.211 vs - 0.125). In adjusted models, >5 BP visits per year was associated with lower stroke odds (aOR, 0.55; 95% CI, 0.51-0.59) compared with [≤]1 visit. Use of 2-3 medication ingredients (vs 0) was also associated with reduced stroke odds (aOR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.75-0.86), whereas >3 ingredients was not significant. The highest quartile of treatment intensification showed the strongest association (aOR, 0.47; 95% CI, 0.44-0.51). Findings were consistent across subgroup and sensitivity analyses, including strata defined by baseline SBP and follow-up SBP. ConclusionsGreater engagement in hypertension care was associated with lower odds of ischemic stroke, suggesting that gaps in routine management may represent missed opportunities for prevention.
Wright, R.; Martyn, T.; Keshishian, A.; Nagelhout, E.; Zeldow, B.; Udall, M.; Lanfear, D.; Judge, D. P.
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Background: Progression of transthyretin (TTR) amyloid cardiomyopathy (ATTR-CM) can lead to worsening congestion requiring diuretic intensification (DI), heart failure (HF)-related hospitalizations (HFH), and death. Tafamidis was the only approved ATTR-CM therapy in the US from 2019 until the 2024 approval of acoramidis, which achieves near-complete ([≥]90%) TTR stabilization. As head-to-head trials are lacking, real-world comparative effectiveness (CE) data are needed to guide treatment selection. Objective: To evaluate real-world CE of acoramidis versus tafamidis in newly treated patients with ATTR-CM. Methods: Retrospective study using Komodo Healthcare Map (R) US claims data tokenized to Claritas. Patients newly initiating acoramidis or tafamidis between 12/11/2024 and 04/30/2025 with [≥]1 prescription claim (first defined as index date) and [≥]6 months of continuous enrollment preindex date were included and followed until disenrollment, death, treatment switch, or study end date (07/31/2025). Outcomes included DI (initiation or dose-equivalent escalation of oral loop diuretics, parenteral loop diuretic use, or addition of thiazide-like diuretic) and a composite of DI, HFH (inpatient admission with a HF-related ICD-10-CM diagnosis code in any position), and mortality. Propensity score weighting balanced baseline characteristics, disease severity, comorbidity burden, and baseline medication use. Time-to-event outcomes were assessed using weighted Cox proportional hazards models. Results: After weighting, acoramidis (n=170) and tafamidis (weighted sample size=448) patients were comparable at baseline (mean age, 78.6 vs 78.7 years; male, 80.0% vs 80.2%) with mean follow-up of 139 and 143 days, respectively. DI cumulative incidence curves separated early and remained divergent, with acoramidis significantly reducing the hazard of DI events by 43% compared with tafamidis (11.8% vs 20.5%; HR, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.35-0.92; P=0.021). Acoramidis also had a significantly lower risk of composite events, with a 34% reduction in hazard compared with tafamidis (17.6% vs 26.4%; HR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.44-0.99; P=0.046). Conclusions: In this first real-world CE study of newly treated patients, acoramidis had significantly lower risk of DI events and composite events of DI, HFH, and mortality than tafamidis, potentially supporting improved clinical stability with acoramidis initiation. Additional evaluation with longer follow-up, larger cohorts, and/or prospective clinical outcomes is warranted.
Malagon-Liceaga, A.; Basile-Alvarez, M. R.; Fermin-Martinez, C. A.; Ramirez-Rivera, D. L.; Perezalonso Espinosa, J.; Diaz-Sanchez, J. P.; Garcia-Gonzalez, S. B.; Carrillo-Herrera, K. B.; Cabrera-Quintana, L. A.; Antonio-Villa, N. E.; Gomes-Goncalves, N.; Garcia-Pena, C.; Bello-Chavolla, O. Y.
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Background: Prediabetes is highly prevalent in older adults and is characterized by heterogeneous clinical trajectories, including regression to normoglycemia and progression to diabetes. While prediabetes has been associated with impaired physical function and frailty, the longitudinal impact of both a single diagnosis and dynamic glycemic transitions on functional outcomes remains unclear. We aimed to evaluate associations between baseline prediabetes and glycemic transitions over time with trajectories of functional capacity and frailty in older adults. Methods: We conducted a pooled analysis of harmonized data from five nationally representative longitudinal aging cohorts (MHAS, HRS, CHARLS, ELSA, CRELES) within the Gateway to Global Aging Data, including adults aged [≥]50 years with [≥]1 HbA1c measurements. Prediabetes was defined per ADA criteria (HbA1c 5.7-6.4%). Functional outcomes included activities of daily living (ADL), instrumental ADL (IADL), and frailty assessed using Fried phenotype, FRAIL scale, and a deficit-accumulation Frailty Index (FI). Mixed-effects Poisson models estimated incidence rate ratios (IRRs) for baseline prediabetes, while generalized estimating equations assessed time-varying glycemic status and transition trajectories. Models were adjusted for age, sex, cohort, and time-varying covariates, with sensitivity analyses including BMI, smoking, and alcohol intake. Findings: Among 18,571 participants (median follow-up 13.6 years), baseline prediabetes was associated with increased progression of functional deficits and frailty compared with normoglycemia, including higher FI values and accelerated FI progression. Prediabetes was associated with higher incidence of ADL, IADL, and multimorbidity deficits from early follow-up, although time-dependent changes in incidence rates were not significant. In time-varying analyses (n=7,840), both prediabetes and diabetes were associated with higher incidence of functional deficits compared with normoglycemia, with diabetes showing the strongest effects across all outcomes. Diabetes was associated with greater FI burden and accelerated progression, whereas prediabetes showed a smaller increase, with attenuation over time. Among individuals with baseline prediabetes, regression to normoglycemia occurred in 20.8% and was associated with increased incidence of ADL and frailty deficits. In contrast, progression to diabetes occurred in 24.3%, and was associated with lower risk of incident ADL and Fried frailty deficits compared to stable prediabetes. Interpretation: Prediabetes is associated with increased risk of functional decline, frailty, and deficit accumulation in older adults, independent of progression to diabetes. Regression to normoglycemia was associated with higher risk of functional deterioration. These findings suggest that prediabetes reflects a state of metabolic vulnerability linked to biological aging rather than solely a precursor to diabetes and highlights a need to reframe its clinical significance in older populations. Funding: This research was supported by Instituto Nacional de Geriatria in Mexico. Keywords: Prediabetes; Glycemic transitions; Frailty; Functional decline; Aging; Multimorbidity
Simpson, F. M.; Johnson, J.; Kalamala, P.; Fabiani, M.; Murphy, K.; Wade, A.; Harvey, A.; Ware, N.; Hunter, M.; Mellow, M. L.; Barker, D.; Collins, C.; Low, K.; Gratton, G.; Keage, H.; Smith, A. E.; Karayanidis, F.
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INTRODUCTIONHealthful dietary patterns may attenuate dementia risk by preserving cerebrovascular health. Prior work has focused on systemic arterial stiffness, but cerebrovascular measures may be more sensitive to neuroprotective effects of diet. We examined associations between Mediterranean diet adherence, prefrontal cortex (PFC) arterial elasticity, and cognition in older adults. METHODSParticipants were 198 older adults (58% female; mean age 65.6 years) from the Newcastle ACTIVate cohort. Mediterranean Diet (MedDiet) scores were derived from the Australian Eating Survey food frequency questionnaire. Pulse Relaxation Function (PReFx), an index of PFC arterial elasticity, was measured using pulse Diffuse Optical Tomography. Cognition was assessed with CANTAB and a cued task-switching paradigm. RESULTSHigher MedDiet was associated with higher PFC arterial elasticity. MedDiet was not associated with cognition, and PReFx did not mediate diet-cognition associations. DISCUSSIONGreater Mediterranean diet alignment was cross-sectionally associated with PFC arterial elasticity, suggesting a pathway through which diet may influence brain health in ageing.
Giri, R.; Agrawal, R.; Lamichhane, S. R.; Barma, S.; Mahatara, R.
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We are pleased to submit our Original article entitled "Assessing medication-related burden and medication adherence among older patients from Central Nepal: A machine learning approach" for consideration in your esteemed journal. In this paper, we assessed medication burden using validated Living with medicines Questionnaire (LMQ-3) and medication adherence using Adherence to Medication refills (ARMS) Scale. In this paper we analysed our result through machine learning approach in spite of traditional statistical approach to identify the complex factors influencing both. Six ML architectures (Ordinary Least Square, LightGBM, Random Forest, XGBoost, SVM, and Penalized linear regression) were employed to predict ARMS and LMQ scores using various socio-demographic, clinical and medication-related predictive features. Model explainability was provided through SHAP (Shapley Additive exPlanations). Our study identified the moderate medication burden with moderate non-adherence among older adults. Requiring assistance for medication and polypharmacy were the strongest drivers for the medication burden and non-adherence. The high predictive accuracy by ML suggests the appropriate clinical intervention like deprescribing to cope with the high prevalent medication burden and non-adherence among older adults in Nepal.
Nilsson, A.; da Silva, M.; Le, H. T.; Haggstrom, C.; Wahlstrom, J.; Michaelsson, K.; Trolle Lagerros, Y.; Sandin, S.; Magnusson, P. K.; Fritz, J.; Stocks, T.
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Excess body weight has been associated with increased cancer risk, but the role of weight change across adulthood remains unclear. We examined body weight trajectories from ages 17 to 60 and their associations with site-specific cancer incidence. Data were based on the ODDS study, a pooled, nationwide cohort study in Sweden, with data on weight spanning 1911 to 2020, and cancer follow-up through 2023. Weight trajectories were estimated with linear mixed effects models in individuals with at least three weight measurements. Cox regressions estimated hazard ratios for associations between weight trajectories and established and potentially obesity-related cancers. Fifth versus first quintile of weight change was associated with many cancers, most strongly with esophageal adenocarcinoma in men (HR 2.25; 95% CI 1.66-3.04), liver cancer in men (HR 2.67; 95% CI 2.15-3.33), endometrial cancer in women (HR 3.78; 95% CI 3.09-4.61), and pituitary tumors in both sexes (men: HR 3.13 [95% CI 2.13-4.61]; women: HR 2.13 [95% CI 1.41-3.22]). Associations varied by sex and age. Heavier weight at age 17 years and earlier obesity onset were also associated with higher cancer incidence. These findings highlight the importance of a life-course approach to weight management and support sex- and age-targeted cancer prevention strategies.
Peng, T.; Liu, C. l.
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Introduction: Accurate stratification of hard atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk remains challenging despite advances in prevention. Liver function biomarkers (LFBs), particularly gamma - glutamyl transferase (GGT), have been linked to cardiovascular outcomes, yet their contribution to hard ASCVD risk prediction is not well defined. Methods: This study analyzed data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES, 2005 - 2018) to assess cross - sectional associations between LFBs and 10 - year hard ASCVD risk estimated by the ACC/AHA Pooled Cohort Equations. Multivariable regression, restricted cubic splines, and mediation analyses were applied to examine independent and dose - response relationships. External validation was performed in the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) and NHANES using machine learning models (CoxBoost, Naive Bayes and Random Forest). Results: Among 5,731 NHANES participants, GGT showed an independent linear association with hard ASCVD risk (P - trend = 0.003), partly mediated by systolic blood pressure (44.8%), HbA1c (19.0%), and high density lipoprotein cholesterol (13.4%). Machine learning (ML) models incorporating GGT, alkaline phosphatase (ALP), and globulin alongside traditional risk factors improved predictive accuracy, with Naive Bayes achieving an AUC of 0.751 in NHANES validation. Conclusions: GGT is an independent and biologically plausible biomarker of hard ASCVD risk, acting through cardiometabolic pathways. Incorporating LFBs into risk prediction models, particularly with machine learning, enhances risk stratification and may facilitate early identification of high - risk individuals.
Goldwater, J. C.; Harris, Y.; Das, S. K.; Fernandez Galvis, M. A.; Maru, D.; Jordan, W. B.; Sacaridiz, C.; Norwood, C.; Kim, S. S.; Neustrom, K.
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OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the return on investment (ROI) of a community based Diabetes Self Management Program (DSMP) enhanced with health related social needs (HRSN) screening and referrals, implemented by the New York City (NYC) Department of Health and Mental Hygiene with three community based organizations in highly impacted, under resourced neighborhoods. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: A retrospective cost benefit analysis from a public sector payer perspective was conducted among 171 adults with type 2 diabetes who completed a six week, peer led DSMP delivered by community health workers (CHWs) in English, Spanish, and Korean during 2018 2019. A time driven, activity based costing model captured direct implementation costs, CHW workforce turnover, and administrative overhead. Monetized benefits included avoided diabetes related complications, reductions in self reported emergency department (ED) visits and hospitalizations, and quality adjusted life year (QALY) gains from improved medication adherence. Univariate sensitivity analyses tested robustness under conservative assumptions. RESULTS: Total program costs were $179,224; monetized benefits totaled $1,824,213, yielding a net benefit of $1,644,989 and an ROI of 918%, approximately $10 returned per $1 invested. Excluding QALY gains, ROI remained 551%. Self reported ED visits declined from 149 to 82 and hospitalizations from 93 to 24 in the six months following intervention. Over 80% of participants reported housing instability; 72% were Medicaid covered and 16% uninsured. Sensitivity analyses confirmed a positive ROI under all conservative scenarios. CONCLUSIONS: A CHW led, community based DSMP integrated with HRSN screening and referrals delivered substantial economic and public health value among adults facing housing instability and structural barriers to care. Findings support inclusion of DSMP as a covered benefit in Medicaid managed care, value based payment arrangements, and housing access initiatives to advance equitable diabetes outcomes.
Palmer, M.; Hashiguchi, T.; Arman, A. C.; Shirakata, Y.; Buss, N. E.; Lalezari, J. P.
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BackgroundChemokine receptor type 5 (CCR5) is expressed on hepatic stellate cells (HSCs), which, together with fibroblasts, are major producers of extracellular matrix during liver fibrosis. Leronlimab is a humanized IgG4{kappa} monoclonal antibody that binds to CCR5. The objective of the present study was to evaluate the antifibrotic effects of leronlimab in three independent preclinical studies using two mouse models of liver fibrosis. MethodsIn STAM (Stelic Animal Model) model 1, leronlimab was administered at doses of 5 or 10 mg/kg/week for 3 weeks. STAM model 2 was conducted as a confirmatory study to validate the antifibrotic effect observed with the 10 mg/kg/week dose in STAM model 1. In a third study, a carbon tetrachloride (CCl)-induced liver fibrosis mouse model was used to evaluate leronlimab administered at 10 mg/kg/week for 3 weeks. An isotype-matched control antibody was included in all studies for comparison. Evaluations included liver enzymes and histological assessment of liver fibrosis. ResultsIn STAM model 1, leronlimab at 10 mg/kg/week significantly reduced fibrosis area compared with the isotype control (p = 0.0005). These findings were confirmed in STAM model 2 (p < 0.0001). Consistent antifibrotic effects were also observed in the CCl-induced liver fibrosis model (p = 0.0006). ConclusionsCollectively, these preclinical results demonstrate that CCR5 blockade by leronlimab is associated with a significant reduction of established liver fibrosis in multiple mouse models and support further evaluation of leronlimab as a potential therapeutic option, either as monotherapy or in combination regimens, for chronic liver diseases with fibrosis.