Diabetes, Obesity and Metabolism

Aims: Sarcopenia and sarcopenic obesity are associated with increased risks of cardiovascular (CV) disease and mortality. This study examined the associations of body composition and daily physical activity with mortality, CV events and cancer in patients with diabetes. Methods: This prospective cohort study included patients with diabetes treated at a specialised clinic in Japan between January 2018 and March 2023. Body composition, including visceral adipose tissue (VAT), was assessed by bioelectrical impedance analysis. Daily physical activity was evaluated using the non-exercise activity thermogenesis (NEAT) questionnaire, and handgrip strength (HGS) was measured by dynamometry. Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess associations with mortality, CV events, and cancer. Results: Among 2,024 patients (mean age 63.0 years, BMI 24.6 kg/m^2, HbA1c 7.8%), NEAT, HGS, and VAT were not independently associated with all-cause mortality. Higher VAT was associated with increased cancer risk (HR 1.485; 95% CI 1.101-2.003; p = 0.009). Higher HGS was inversely associated with CV event risk (HR 0.951; 95% CI 0.919-0.984; p = 0.004). NEAT was not associated with any outcome. Conclusions: Higher VAT was associated with increased cancer risk, whereas higher HGS was protective against CV events. Incorporating body composition and HGS assessments into clinical practice may improve risk stratification and management in patients with diabetes.

Background: Obesity is globally recognized as a complex, multifactorial chronic disease, with biological, psychological, environmental and behavioural factors involved in both disease pathogenesis and maintenance. Although previous group-based studies demonstrated involvement of each of these factors, there is large inter-individual variability in the factors contributing to disease development as well as intervention outcomes, causing limited translatability to the individual level. This heterogeneity in treatment effectiveness might be due to differential causal and maintenance factors of obesity. To enable the transition from a one-size-fits-all approach to a more personalized approach for individuals with overweight or obesity, this study aims to investigate if and how the degree of weight loss and changes in daily life behaviour after a combined lifestyle intervention depend on individual baseline profiles comprising of person characteristics, biological, psychological, environmental and behavioural factors. Methods: This study will include 600 individuals varying in BMI, 200 participants with a healthy BMI (18.5-24.9kg/m2), 200 with overweight (BMI 25.0-29.9kg/m2), and 200 with obesity (BMI [≥]30.0kg/m2). For all participants, a comprehensive individual baseline profile is created, including person characteristics, biological, psychological, environmental and behavioural factors. A clustering method is applied to identify clusters of participants with similar characteristics. Next, we examine if and how these clusters are linked to bodyweight indicators measured at baseline, and how they relate to daily lifestyle behaviour, as measured by ecological momentary assessment (EMA) using a smartphone app and sensor technology (3-week measurements). Individuals with overweight or obesity will be randomized to the intensive lifestyle intervention or a lifestyle information condition, to determine if treatment response can be predicted based on cluster characteristics, how daily lifestyle behaviour changes after an intervention, and how changes in daily lifestyle behaviour relate to treatment response. Discussion: The End of Average study aims to characterize a large set of individuals varying in body weight to predict intervention effectiveness measured as changes in body weight indicators and in daily lifestyle behaviours. If reliable predictors of treatment success can be identified, these can be applied in personalized lifestyle interventions to improve lifestyle behaviour, body weight management and overall health.

Background The European Association for the Study of the Liver (ESAL) - Steatotic Liver Disease (SLD) screening algorithm involves two steps; initial screening with FIB-4 followed by referral for vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) in patients likely to have significant fibrosis (SF). However, VCTE is not widely available in resource-limited settings. Aim To optimise the EASL SLD screening algorithm for resource-poor settings using machine learning (ML). Methods We analysed data from 964 adults aged [≥]35 years who underwent VCTE at a tertiary referral centre in Sri Lanka between November 2024 and 2025. Multiple ML models using different methods and variable combinations were trained on 80% of the dataset and tested on the remaining 20%. Best models were selected based on performance and externally validated using data from 430 patients who underwent VCTE before November 2024. Model performance was compared with the FIB-4 using confusion matrices. Results A Random Forest model incorporating age, AST, ALT, and platelet count separately, rather than using FIB-4, outperformed. The all-variable ML model showed the best predictive performance for SF, with accuracy of 77.2%, recall of 0.762, precision of 0.778, and AUC-ROC of 0.818. The variables used in the model, in descending order of feature importance, were AST, platelet count, BMI, ALT, age, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, dyslipidaemia, sex, family history, hypothyroidism, diabetes complication and smoking. External validation demonstrated 75.1% accuracy and an AUC of 0.779. When used as the first step of the SLD screening algorithm, the all-variable ML model identified 37 (17.1%) additional true positives and reduced false-negative diagnoses by 50% compared with FIB-4. Conclusions ML-based models were more effective than the FIB-4 score as the first-line screening tool for VCTE referral, substantially improving the identification of patients with significant fibrosis in this South Asian cohort.

Background Cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome integrates adiposity, metabolic risk, kidney dysfunction, and cardiovascular disease in a prevention-oriented framework. National estimates across 1999-2023 NHANES and future burden remain limited. Methods We analyzed US adults aged 20 years from 11 NHANES cycles, 1999-2000 through August 2021-August 2023. CKM stage 0-4 was assigned using harmonized examination, laboratory, medication, and questionnaire data. Prevalence was survey-weighted and standardized to the 2010 US Census adult population. Decade trends used survey-weighted logistic regression adjusted for age, sex, and race and ethnicity. Exploratory 2040 and 2050 projections combined NHANES prevalence models with US Census projections under population-aging-only, trend-continuation, and risk-improvement scenarios. Results Among 62,890 eligible adults, 62,888 had sufficient CKM data. In 2021-2023, age-standardized prevalence was 87.9% (95% CI, 86.5%-89.4%) for CKM stage 1 and 62.0% (95% CI, 60.1%-63.8%) for stages 2-4. Stage 2 accounted for 50.1% (95% CI, 48.2%-51.9%) and stages 3-4 for 11.9% (95% CI, 11.0%-12.7%). From 1999-2000 to 2021-2023, any CKM increased by 4.6 percentage points (95% CI, 2.4 to 6.9; P<0.001), whereas stages 2-4 changed by 2.1 percentage points (95% CI, 5.1 to 0.8; P=0.156). In adjusted decade models, any CKM increased (OR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.19-1.38; P<0.001), while stages 2-4 showed no significant linear trend (OR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.89-1.01; P=0.084). Excess adiposity and diabetes increased, dyslipidemia declined, and hypertension, chronic kidney disease, and clinical cardiovascular disease were stable. With population aging alone, projected stages 2-4 burden rose from 164.8 million adults in 2023 to 193.7 million in 2050; under risk improvement, it was 147.7 million. Conclusions CKM syndrome remained highly prevalent among US adults. Although later stages did not increase significantly, population aging may expand the absolute care burden unless broad risk improvement occurs.

Background: Primary aldosteronism (PA) is increasingly recognized as a common cause of hypertension. The 2025 Endocrine Society guideline introduced a simplified diagnostic framework, but its real-world clinical implications remain unclear. Methods: We conducted a multicenter retrospective cohort study of hypertensive patients undergoing PA testing in Taiwan. PA was defined biochemically according to the 2025 Endocrine Society criteria. Multivariable logistic regression identified factors associated with PA diagnosis and aldosterone-targeted therapy. Among patients with suppressed renin (?1 ng/mL/h), restricted cubic splines evaluated the adjusted association between renin and PA probability. Results: Among 18,766 patients undergoing PA testing, 6,760 (36.0%) met diagnostic criteria for PA. PA was associated with older age, female sex, lower potassium, resistant hypertension, and a higher antihypertensive medication burden. Among patients with suppressed renin, lower renin remained significantly associated with higher adjusted PA probability. However, only 39.0% of patients with PA received aldosterone-targeted therapy, including 28.2% who received mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist therapy within 6 months and 9.4% who underwent adrenalectomy during follow-up. Lower renin, higher aldosterone, lower potassium, and resistant hypertension were associated with aldosterone-targeted therapy, while younger patients with fewer comorbidities were more likely to undergo adrenalectomy. Conclusions: Using the updated diagnostic framework, PA was highly prevalent among hypertensive patients undergoing PA testing. Nevertheless, many patients who met these biochemical criteria did not receive aldosterone-targeted therapy in routine care. These findings highlight the potential treatment implications of broader PA recognition and support the development of practical pathways to guide MRA therapy, adrenalectomy referral, and individualized management.

Background: Alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency (AATD) caused by the PI*ZZ mutation (Glu342Lys) results in hepatic accumulation of misfolded AAT-Z protein and reduced circulating AAT levels, leading to progressive liver disease and emphysema. Gene correction therapy represents a potentially curative approach by directly correcting the underlying genetic defect. We report the first case of successful hepatic gene correction with early histological and functional assessment. Methods/Case presentation: We report the case of a 66-year-old male patient with PI*ZZ AATD who underwent gene correction therapy within the YOLT-202 phase I/Ia clinical trial (clinical trial.gov ID NCT07193615). Ten weeks post treatment a liver biopsy was performed to re-evaluate pre-existing F2 liver fibrosis as measured by elastography before entering the study. Serum samples allowed functional assessment of the AAT-mediated elastase inhibition. Results: Liver biopsy did not show signs of hepatic inflammation and demonstrated 54% (Sanger) and 57% (Illumina) gene correction rate of the PI*ZZ variant on the DNA level with no bystander edits or off-target effects. Following a transient elevation of transaminases during the early post-treatment period, liver enzymes normalized. Monthly serum AAT measurements demonstrated biologically active and stable therapeutic levels throughout follow-up. Conclusions: This case demonstrates efficient and precise hepatic gene correction without concerning histological alterations and with substantial improvement of functional parameters, supporting the feasibility and safety of gene editing approaches for AATD.

Background: Obesity is a global health crisis, contributing to chronic diseases such as diabetes, cardiovascular disease, and metabolic syndrome. Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) has been used in East Asia to manage obesity, but evidence on its efficacy and safety remains limited. This systematic review and meta-analysis assess clinical evidence from randomized controlled trials (RCTs) on TCM for obesity treatment. Methods: We systematically searched PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science from inception to April 2026. Eligible RCTs compared TCM interventions with placebo or conventional treatments in obese patients. Two reviewers independently conducted screening, data extraction, and quality assessment. Meta-analysis was conducted using a random-effects model to calculate pooled weighted mean differences (WMD) and odds ratios (OR) for body weight, BMI, waist-to-hip ratio (WHR), lipid profiles, and adverse events. Results: A total of 33 randomized controlled trials (RCTs) involving 3,053 participants were included in the analysis. TCM significantly reduced body weight (WMD = -5.86 kg, 95% CI: -7.51 to -4.21), BMI (WMD = -2.82 kg/m{superscript 2}, 95% CI: -3.38 to -2.25), and WHR (WMD = -0.04, 95% CI: -0.06 to -0.02). Lipid profiles improved, with reductions in total cholesterol (WMD = -0.82 mmol/L), triglycerides (WMD = -0.65 mmol/L), LDL-C (WMD = -0.39 mmol/L), and increased HDL-C (WMD = 0.29 mmol/L) (all p < 0.001). Adverse events were infrequent, with no significant difference observed between TCM and control groups (OR = 0.51, 95% CI: 0.24 to 1.08). Funnel plots indicated no publication bias. Conclusion: TCM appears effective in reducing body weight and improving lipid profiles in obese patients, with a low incidence of adverse events. It may serve as a complementary treatment for obesity, though further high-quality RCTs are needed to confirm these findings and assess long-term outcomes.

Background: Pathologic aldosteronism induces oxidative stress, tissue injury, and increases in hemoglobin. Conversely, aldosterone antagonist therapy decreases hemoglobin. Whether these effects are attributable to aldosterone-mediated changes in iron and oxygen metabolism is unknown. Methods: The plasma proteome of participants with overt primary aldosteronism (PA) (n=50) was compared with participants without overt PA (n=61). To isolate aldosterone-dependent effects, participants without overt PA underwent oral sodium suppression testing to quantify the magnitude of renin-independent aldosterone production, enabling monotonic dose-response analyses across the continuum of renin-independent aldosteronism (subclinical to overt PA). Differential abundance testing was performed using empirical Bayes linear modeling, followed by Reactome pathway enrichment analysis and covariate-adjusted sensitivity analyses. To validate clinical relevance, aldosterone dose-response trends with blood count parameters were examined in this cohort, and an independent population-based cohort of 5,713 people with hypertension. Results: 903 proteins in the peripheral circulation were differentially abundant in overt PA versus participants without PA. The most significantly increased protein in overt PA was CYBRD1, involved in iron reduction and absorption. Pathway enrichment identified 16 iron- and heme-related pathways, including erythropoietin signaling, heme biosynthesis and mitochondrial iron-sulfur cluster biogenesis, with increases in heme and erythroid proteins and decreases in mitochondrial iron-sulfur proteins. Linear aldosterone dose-dependent trend analyses across the PA continuum further supported this signature, identifying progressive increases in hemoglobin subunits (HBA1/HBB), heme-related proteins (HMBS, UROS, AMBP, HPX, GLO1) and erythrocyte oxygen handling enzymes (CA1/CA3), alongside progressive reductions in mitochondrial electron transport chain subunits (CYCS, ETFA). These proteomic changes corresponded with aldosterone dose-dependent increases in red blood cell count, hemoglobin, and hematocrit, in this cohort and another population-based cohort. Conclusion: The continuum of PA is characterized by a progressive shift away from mitochondrial oxidative phosphorylation and toward increased intestinal iron absorption, preferential iron transport over storage, and enhanced heme synthesis and recycling, possibly reflecting cellular pseudohypoxia and systemic adaptations to increase oxygen delivery. These findings provide a novel mechanistic basis for aldosterone-mediated tissue injury and the benefits of aldosterone-directed therapy.

Abstract Objective: The onset of hypertension occurs at a younger age in China, and the relationship between health literacy and quality of life among middle-aged and older hypertensive patients remains unclear. This study explored whether perceived social support and self-efficacy mediate the association between health literacy and quality of life in middle-aged and older hypertensive patients. Methods: A questionnaire was administered to 1,015 middle-aged and older hypertensive adults from communities in six central provinces of China. The EQ-5D scale, Perceived Social Support (PSS) scale, Self-Efficacy Scale (SES), and Health Literacy Scale (HLS) were used to assess quality of life, social support, self-efficacy, and health literacy, respectively. Mplus 8.3 software was used to construct a structural equation model for path analysis. Results: The mean PSS, SES, HLS, EQ-5D, and EQ-VAS scores were 15.57{+/-}3.45, 10.61{+/-}2.41, 9.49{+/-}2.86, 0.88{+/-}0.18, and 71.06{+/-}17.49, respectively. Health literacy and quality of life scores significantly differed among middle-aged and older hypertensive patients, and both showed positive correlations with perceived social support and self-efficacy (both P<0.001). Perceived social support and self-efficacy exhibited a chain mediated effect on the relationship between health literacy and quality of life (EQ-5D utility index and EQ-VAS), accounting for 28.57% of the total effect of the EQ-5D utility index and 27.26% of that of the EQ-VAS. This study is the first to elucidate the mechanism by which health literacy influences quality of life in middle-aged and older hypertensive patients through the chain-mediated effect of perceived social support and self-efficacy. Conclusion : Health literacy is significantly correlated with quality of life in middle-aged and older hypertensive patients. This correlation can directly or indirectly explain the impact on quality of life through mediating pathways involving perceived social support and self-efficacy. Keywords: hypertensive patients, perceived social support, self-efficacy, health literacy, quality of life, mediating effect

Background and Aims: MASLD has become the most prevalent chronic liver disease globally. Although MVPA and plasma fatty acids have been individually studied in relation to metabolic health, their independent and combined associations with MASLD incidence remain unclear. We aimed to investigate these associations. Methods: This study included 51,717 UK Biobank participants free of liver disease at baseline, with MVPA measured using wrist-worn accelerometers and plasma fatty acids quantified via NMR. Multivariable-adjusted Cox models and restricted cubic splines were used. Results: Over a median follow-up of 7.8 years, 472 incident cases were identified. In fully adjusted models, meeting recommended MVPA levels together with higher n-6 PUFA concentrations was associated with a 71% lower risk (HR 0.29, 95% CI 0.18-0.45). The MVPA-MASLD association was nonlinear, with risk reduction plateauing at approximately 189 minutes per week. Higher n-6 PUFA was associated with reduced risk, whereas n-3 PUFA showed no significant association. Conclusions: These findings suggest that behavioral and metabolic factors may jointly influence MASLD risk. Further studies in diverse populations are needed to confirm these associations.

Background Blood pressure (BP) regulation in individuals with sickle cell disease (SCD) is influenced by a complex interplay of genetic and physiological factors. While SCD has traditionally been associated with lower BP, there is an increased risk of hypertension. Emerging BP research suggests significant heterogeneity across genotypes, age groups, and sex. Objectives: This study investigated the longitudinal effects of population-level characteristics and continuous clinical and laboratory predictors on systolic (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) in individuals with SCD, with emphasis on the interactions between baseline and predicted blood pressure slopes over time. Methods We retrospectively analyzed longitudinal data from a cohort of 2,739 patients with diverse SCD genotypes. Descriptive statistics were documented across sex, age range, genotype, health status and relative systemic hypertension risk categories (rHTN-risk). Linear mixed-effects models provided estimates of fixed- and random-effects of baseline BP and of time-related BP effects, respectively. Post-estimation margins provided contrasts of baseline-adjusted BP means and of pre-specified time effects on BP patterns. Results Males had significantly higher baseline SBP ({beta} = 6.64, p < 0.001) but lower baseline DBP ({beta} = -2.61, p < 0.001) compared with age-matched HbSS females. Baseline SBP was more unstable compared with baseline DBP and baseline DBP was more predictive of future BP trends than baseline SBP. Genotype was a consistent predictor of DBP (p < 0.05), but not of SBP. Similarly, we observed increased risks of relative diastolic hypertension across most genotypes, while the prevalence and magnitude of systolic hypertension was lower across all genotype compared with HbSS. Conclusions Blood pressure trajectories in SCD patients are not uniform and are significantly related to genotype, age group and sex over time. Baseline diastolic levels were less heterogenous and exhibited clear upward trajectories over time. These findings support the need for patient-specific BP surveillance in the care and management of SCD.

Background Chronic pain is common in adults aged 85 years and older (85+) and is associated with detrimental outcomes. Chronic pain guidelines advise first line management with non-pharmacological measures; paracetamol and non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs are the preferred analgesics. Challenges in accessing non-pharmacological therapies for adults aged 85+, and the presence of multimorbidity and polypharmacy, mean that opioid medication is often prescribed for chronic pain despite the potential for opioid-related adverse effects and guidance identifying long-term opioids for chronic pain as a potentially inappropriate prescription. Aim This study aims to explore patient, caregiver, and healthcare professional perspectives on the prescription of opioid medications for pain management for chronic pain in adults aged 85+ to support development of resources for optimising opioid prescribing. Design and Setting In this qualitative study, participants were recruited through primary care, in the community or in care home settings. Method 36 semi-structured interviews were conducted with care home residents and community dwellers aged 85+ (n=12), caregivers (informal and care home staff) (n=12), and healthcare professionals (n=12). Interviews were transcribed and analysed using reflexive thematic analysis. Results Four themes were developed: contextual complexity, satellite influences, balancing act, and pragmatic prescribing. Using opioids in adults aged 85+ is a balancing act to support patients best possible quality of life within their unique circumstances whilst using the pain management tools available. Conclusion Opioids continue to have an important role in pain management in adults aged 85+ largely due to paucity of alternatives and the drive to support quality of life.

Patients diagnosed with type 2 diabetes (T2D) are at increased risk of developing cardiovascular disease (CVD), the leading cause of morbidity and mortality in this population. Early detection and glycemic control within the first year after diagnosis reduce CVD risk. However, gaps remain in how to operationalize early detection of T2D using Electronic Health Record (EHR) data and quantify its relationship with subsequent CVD risk using longitudinal observations. We developed a probabilistic graph model to analyze the interdependencies between early detection of T2D, post-diagnosis glycemic control, and CVD occurrence. Using a temporally structured Bayesian Network (BN) learned from EHR data of 9,450 primary care patients between 2017 and 2023, we quantified probabilistic dependencies between demographics, diagnostic delay surrogates, glycemic control, and post-diagnosis CVD occurrence. Percentile based thresholds defined risk groups, where individuals with predicted probabilities in the bottom decile ([&le;] 10th percentile) were classified as low risk, and those in the top decile ([&ge;] 90th percentile) as high risk. Results demonstrated heterogeneity in predicted risks across glycemic and cardiovascular outcomes. Predicted probability of developing CVD within the first year after T2D diagnosis ranged from a mean of 5.2% in the low-risk group to 28.9% in the high-risk group, while predicted probabilities of mean Hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) [&ge;] 8% during the first year post-diagnosis ranged from 1.6% in low-risk to 55.1% in high-risk group. Patients with HbA1c at diagnosis [&ge;] 8% had higher predicted probabilities of first-year post-diagnosis mean HbA1c [&ge;] 8% (53.3% vs. 1.9%) and high HbA1c coefficient of variation (18.7% vs. 3.1%) compared with those with HbA1c [&le;] 6.5%. Incorporating early clinical outcomes refined later risk predictions, with long-term CVD risk reaching 33.5% among high-risk individuals. The proposed model achieved predictive performance comparable to conventional machine learning approaches while providing interpretable relationships for risk stratification in primary care populations.

This cross-sectional study aimed to examine the prevalence of alcohol use and its sociodemographic correlates among adults with cardiovascular disease (CVD). We analyzed data from two large US cohorts: the All of Us Research Program (2017-2023) and the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES, 1999-2016). Both CVD diagnosis and past-year alcohol consumption were self-reported. Risky drinking was defined as exceeding moderate drinking or binge drinking (All of Us), or moderate/heavy drinking (NHANES). Multivariable logistic regression was used to exam associations with sociodemographic and lifestyle factors. Among 32,788 current drinkers with CVD in the All of Us cohort, 15% exceeded moderate drinking thresholds and 26% reported binge drinking. Older age, female sex, and higher socioeconomic status were inversely associated with risky drinking, while smoking was positively associated. In NHANES, moderate drinking rose from 47.3% to 57.2% and heavy drinking from 6.7% to 7.2%. Moderate/heavy drinking was positively associated with age <65 but inversely with age [&ge;]65. Higher education and income were linked to moderate drinking, while current smoking was strongly associated with heavy drinking. These results highlight the need to integrate holistic screening for alcohol use, tobacco use, and social context into routine cardiovascular care.

Background. Blood-based biomarkers are increasingly proposed for identifying high-risk individuals before clinical disease and for making prevention-oriented trials more efficient. Prognostic enrichment can increase event rates, but trial efficiency also depends on whether the intervention effect is preserved in the enriched population. Methods. Using the UK Biobank Pharma Proteomics Project, we trained disease-specific proteomic risk scores (ProRS) from 2,916 plasma proteins with elastic-net Cox models. We compared ProRS, polygenic risk scores (PRS), and combined PRS--ProRS scores across ten incident diseases. We estimated cumulative incidence and theoretical two-arm time-to-event trial sample sizes across risk strata. To evaluate effect preservation, we examined six intervention-analogue exposure--outcome pairs spanning genetic (PCSK9/coronary artery disease, APOE/Alzheimer's disease, PPARG/type 2 diabetes, IL23R/Crohn's disease), behavioural (physical activity/all-cause mortality), and pharmacological (RAAS inhibitors versus calcium channel blockers/coronary artery disease) examples. Results. ProRS outperformed PRS for 9 of 10 diseases (median C-index 0.75 versus 0.61). ProRS and PRS were weakly correlated (median Pearson |r| = 0.04), and joint PRS--ProRS stratification identified groups with higher observed incidence than either score alone for several endpoints. In the top risk quartile, combined-score enrichment reduced theoretical required sample sizes by 32--74\% under a fixed 20\% relative hazard reduction. These gains were not always preserved when stratum-specific intervention-analogue effects were used. Effects were broadly preserved for APOE/Alzheimer's disease and physical activity/mortality. The PPARG/type 2 diabetes effect attenuated toward the null under all three score types, showing that event-rate enrichment does not guarantee effect preservation. For IL23R/Crohn's disease and the antihypertensive comparison, point estimates differed across score types -- preserved under polygenic but attenuated under proteomic enrichment -- but confidence intervals were wide and overlapping. Conclusions. Proteomic risk scores can identify high-event-rate populations for prevention-oriented trials, but event-rate enrichment alone is insufficient for trial design. Biomarker-guided enrichment should evaluate mechanism-specific effect preservation and may be preferable as a stratification or adaptive-design variable rather than as a restrictive eligibility criterion.

Background Slow walking in older adults with mild parkinsonian signs (MPS) is a complex, multifactorial phenomenon arising from the cumulative burden of subclinical age-associated pathologies. This decline reflects age-associated neuronal loss in the dopaminergic system. A recent study suggests that levodopa treatment may enhance gait parameters. The goal of this small pilot study is to explore the effect of levodopa treatment on slow walking gait in older adults with MPS. Method This study was a randomized, placebo-controlled clinical pilot trial. Slow walking older adults without clinical evidence of PD were recruited and randomized into 2 groups (active treatment group or placebo control group). Participants in the active group were pre-treated with carbidopa for three days, followed by carbidopa-levodopa for seven days. Spatiotemporal gait parameters were evaluated at baseline and post-intervention. Results Gait factor analysis identified three main factors explaining gait characteristics at baseline, which included gait efficiency, gait rhythmicity, and gait turning.No effect of treatment was observed in the placebo group (p=0.111, p=0.616), no group difference was observed between the placebo and active group at baseline ({beta}=0.310, p=0.547), but a strong trend for a treatment-related increase was observed in the active treatment group ({beta}=0.506, p=0.076). Conclusion Our preliminary data suggest that sustained levodopa treatment (one week) in conjunction with carbidopa pre-treatment and concomitant carbidopa supplementation is feasible in slow walking older adults with MPS. Moreover, the data indicate potential efficacy, showing improvements in cadence, and step durations.

Background. Nascent findings suggest that people with attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) experience higher rates of mortality. To date, study samples have been insufficiently well-characterized to examine the mechanisms via which this neurodevelopmental condition elevates mortality risk. Methods. We used data from the 2007 and 2011 waves of the US National Health Interview Survey, a general population-based cohort study comprising 52097 adults (28675 women) aged 18 years or older at baseline. ADHD diagnosis and an array of demographic, socioeconomic, lifestyle, and co-morbidity (somatic and psychiatric) covariates were self-reported. Findings. At baseline, compared with unaffected individuals, participants with ADHD were more likely to be socioeconomically disadvantaged, smoke cigarettes, consume alcohol, and report symptoms of psychological distress. A median 7.75 years of mortality surveillance (range: 7.25-12.25) gave rise to 6597 deaths from all-causes. After adjustment for age, sex, ethnicity, and survey year, ADHD was associated with a markedly elevated risk of death (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]: 1.58 [1.20-2.09]). Statistical adjustment for socioeconomic circumstances (11% attenuation), physical co-morbidities (15%), and lifestyle factors (17%) had only a modest impact on the ADHD-death gradient, with the greatest explanatory power apparent for symptoms of depression and anxiety (58%). The magnitude of the association of ADHD with mortality was commensurate to that for several well-established risk factors such as poverty (1.66 [1.55-1.78]), hypertension (1.41 [1.32-1.51]), and diabetes (1.71 [1.59-1.85]) but somewhat lower than cigarette smoking (2.51 [2.29-2.76]) after controlling for age, sex, ethnicity, and survey year. Associations between ADHD and cause-specific mortality from cardiovascular disease, cancer, and chronic respiratory disease were inconclusive. Interpretation. In the present study, the influence of ADHD on total mortality appears to be largely embodied via a series of malleable characteristics, particularly mental illness. If confirmed elsewhere, these results raise the possibility that risk factor modification via standard pharmacological and behavioral interventions could help reduce rates of premature mortality in this patient group. Funding. This paper received no direct funding. GDB is supported by the UK Medical Research Council (MR/P023444/1) and the US National Institute on Aging (1R56AG052519-01, 1R01AG052519-01A1).

Aim: The global population of older adults is growing, and older age is linked to higher bleeding risk. Although guidelines discourage aspirin for primary prevention in healthy older adults due to bleeding harms outweighing benefits, many continue taking it without a clear indication. It remains unclear whether all older adults face uniform aspirin-related bleeding risk or if certain subgroups are more vulnerable. Methods: We analyzed data from 19,114 ASPREE trial participants to develop machine learning models using 116 baseline variables. Random forest (RF) and random survival forest (RSF) models predicted 5-year bleeding risk, and participants were stratified into low, intermediate, and high-risk groups based on the 20th and 80th percentiles of predicted risk. We assessed heterogeneity of treatment effect (HTE) by testing treatment-by-risk group interactions on the relative scale using Fine-Gray models, and on the absolute scale using observed 5-year cumulative incidence rates. Results: Over a median follow-up of 4.7 years, 626 major bleeding events occurred. The RF model had moderate discrimination (AUC = 0.65, 95% CI: 0.63-0.67) and good calibration (Brier = 0.032, 95% CI: 0.029-0.034). Statistically significant HTE was observed on the relative scale, with the greatest relative increase in bleeding risk seen in the low-risk group (subdistribution hazard ratio = 2.26, 95% CI: 1.27-4.01). On the absolute scale, low-risk participants experienced higher bleeding with aspirin (absolute risk difference (ARD) = 1.17%, 95% CI: 0.37-1.95), but heterogeneity in ARDs was not statistically significant (Cochran's Q p > 0.45). Similar findings were observed when using the RSF model. Conclusion: Participants at lowest baseline bleeding risk experienced the greatest relative increase in bleeding risk with aspirin therapy. We found statistically significant heterogeneity in treatment effects on the relative but not absolute scale. These findings support an individualized, risk-based approach to aspirin therapy decision-making in older adults.

Background. Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D) is defined by progressive pancreatic {beta}-cell dysfunction whose molecular underpinnings remain incompletely understood. Single-cohort transcriptomic analyses of donor islets have yielded heterogeneous gene lists of limited cross-study reproducibility, constraining both mechanistic interpretation and biomarker development. Methods. We combined two complementary analytical strategies applied to four public human islet transcriptomic cohorts (GSE25724, GSE20966, GSE38642, and GSE164416; n = 7-57 donors per contrast). For the integrative arm, three microarray datasets and one bulk RNA-seq dataset were processed independently and unified through gene-level random-effects meta-analysis, hallmark pathway scoring (GSVA/MSigDB), and iterative module refinement, yielding a two-axis disease framework. For the diagnostic arm, a consensus multi-method machine learning pipeline, combining LASSO penalized logistic regression, Support Vector Machine Recursive Feature Elimination (SVM-RFE), and Random Forest importance scoring, was applied to 184 differentially expressed genes from the RNA-seq cohort, with all normalization steps performed within leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV) folds to prevent data leakage. Machine learning classification of the RNA-seq cohort was additionally subjected to external transportability testing in the independent bulk human islet RNA-seq cohort GSE50244 using an overlap-restricted reduced score and a threshold fixed in the discovery cohort. Results. Meta-analysis across all four cohorts identified 337 high-confidence T2D-associated genes (96.1% directional concordance in beta-cell-enriched tissue). These were distilled into two refined 14-gene modules: ImmuneStress (MICB, HLA-DRA, HLA-DPA1, IL1R2, and others) and BetaCellIdentitySecretion (RASGRP1, PPP1R1A, SLC2A2, and others), whose composite IsletDysfunctionScore provided the most stable cross-platform separation of non-diabetic from T2D islets (Hedges' g = 1.80, p = 9.83 x $10^-17$, $\text{I}^2$= 0%). Consistent with progressive disease, IsletDysfunctionScore increased monotonically from non-diabetic to impaired glucose tolerance to T2D. Separately, the machine learning pipeline derived a 10-gene diagnostic panel: GABRA2, SLC2A2, ARG2, DKK3, PRIMA1, TAFA4, HHATL, PARVG, RNU1-70P, and the novel lncRNA ENSG00000284653, that achieved perfect discrimination in LOOCV (AUC = 1.000, sensitivity = 1.000, specificity = 1.000, zero misclassifications across all 57 donors). A leakage-verification experiment confirmed that this performance reflected genuine biological signal: global quantile normalization prior to cross-validation collapsed AUC to 0.380. External testing showed that 8 of the 10 panel genes were measurable in GSE50244. The frozen 8-gene reduced score retained strong discrimination (external AUC = 0.907), with 6 of 8 genes preserving directional concordance, but the discovery-derived threshold did not transfer because the external score distribution was shifted upward and compressed, yielding complete sensitivity but zero specificity at the frozen cutoff Conclusions. Integrating pathway-level meta-analysis with machine learning classification, we present a coherent two-axis model: immune/stress activation and loss of beta-cell identity/secretory competence, together with a compact, biologically interpretable 10-gene diagnostic signature. Panel genes converge on GABA signaling, glucose transport, arginine metabolism, WNT pathway inhibition, and a novel lncRNA, providing both mechanistic hypotheses and high-priority targets for external validation. These findings offer a reproducible transcriptomic scaffold for future mechanistic, biomarker, and clinical translation studies of human islet dysfunction. They also support external transportability of the core biological signal, while indicating that absolute operating thresholds are cohort-dependent and would require recalibration before deployment in independent datasets.

Introduction: To investigate the epidemiological characteristics of chronic kidney diseases (CKD) in China in 2021 and its trends between 1990 and 2021, in the context of significant population growth and lifestyle changes over the past 30 years that have likely influenced the CKD spectrum. Methods: Data on CKD prevalence, mortality, disability-adjusted life-years (DALY), and risk factors were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. The estimated decadal percentage changes were calculated to evaluate changes in trends in prevalence, mortality and disease burden. Results: In 2021, an estimated 118.4 (95% UI 109.4 to 127.5) million people in China were affected by CKD, contributing to 204 230 (95% UI 164 736 to 246 372) deaths and 6.13 (95% UI 5.18 to 7.21) million DALY. Although CKD due to diabetes mellitus and hypertension accounted for less than a quarter of all cases, they were responsible for over 90% of CKD-related deaths. Over the past three decades, CKD mortality and DALY rates have steadily increased, although the prevalence has stabilized in the last decade. Diabetes mellitus type 2 and hypertension have emerged as key drivers of CKD burden in China. Conclusions: The CKD burden in China shows a dual pattern of rising incidence and high mortality from diabetes and hypertension-related chronic kidney disease, alongside persistently high years lived with disability from glomerulonephritis and other causes.