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Diabetes, Obesity and Metabolism

Wiley

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Diabetes, Obesity and Metabolism's content profile, based on 22 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.04% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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GLP-1 Receptor Agonist Initiation and Anti-VEGF Treatment Frequency in Diabetic Macular Edema: an IRIS(R) Registry Cohort Study

Nagalamadaka, P.; Ross, C. J.; Gilbert, J. B.; Stillman, H.; Ghauri, S. Y.; Dutton, S. M.; Kearney, W.; Li, J. H.; Leong, A.; Singh, R. P.; Krzystolik, M. G.

2026-08-31 ophthalmology 10.64898/2026.08.29.26361426 medRxiv
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Purpose: To evaluate whether initiation of GLP-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) is associated with anti-VEGF treatment burden in type 2 diabetes patients with diabetic macular edema (DME) in the IRIS(R) Registry (Intelligent Research in Sight). Methods: Incident GLP-1RA initiators were matched 1:1 with controls via Mahalanobis distance matching (9,896 pairs; N=19,792) on sociodemographics, DME risk factors, and factors influencing GLP-1RA prescription including hypertension, obesity, chronic kidney disease. A longitudinal mixed-effects event-study model evaluated monthly anti-VEGF injection frequency over a 36-month window (12 months before through 24 months after initiation), adjusting for DME duration. Visual acuity (VA) and central subfield thickness (CST) were secondary outcomes. Results: Following GLP-1RA initiation, anti-VEGF injection trajectories did not significantly differ between the matched GLP-1RA and control cohorts (interaction coefficients -0.18 to 1.59, P>0.05). Likewise, no differences in VA were observed between cohorts (-0.05 to 0.04 logMAR, P>0.05) or CST (-14.12 to 33.58 {micro}m, P>0.05). Conclusion: In these matched cohorts, GLP-1RA initiation was not associated with the trajectory of anti-VEGF use or changes in VA or CST. Precis We used the American Academy of Ophthalmology IRIS(R) Registry (Intelligent Research in Sight) to identify patients with DME. In 19,792 matched patients, there was no significant reduction in injection frequency post GLP1-RA initiation and no significant change in VA or CST.

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GLP-1/GIP Uptake, Indication, and Access Pathways Among US Adults in the Understanding America Study

Chaturvedi, R. R.; Gracner, T.; Perez-Arce, F.; Suen, S.-c.; Jin, J.; Orriens, B.; Pacula, R. L.; Sexton Ward, A.; Haile, R.; Kapteyn, A.

2026-09-02 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361368 medRxiv
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Importance: Evidence on GLP-1/GIP therapies is largely derived from trials enrolling selected populations or medical records that miss utilization outside healthcare channels. No nationally representative cohort has characterized real-world uptake, indications, and access. Objective: To characterize GLP-1/GIP prevalence, indication, clinical profile, and access. Design: Prospective cohort study with three GLP-1/GIP surveillance waves (March 2024, December 2024, October 2025). Setting: The Understanding America Study, an address-based, nationally representative panel of approximately 15,000 US adults aged 18+ years initiated in 2014. Participants: UAS participants responding to at least one surveillance wave (n=9150). Exposures: GLP-1/GIP use status (never vs any use, comprising current and former use), self-reported primary indication (diabetes, weight loss, or other), and access pathway (traditional vs non-traditional). Main Outcomes and Measures: Survey-weighted prevalence of GLP-1/GIP use, overall and by indication and access pathway; sociodemographic, cardiometabolic, treatment, and access characteristics; and smartwatch-derived resting heart rate, heart rate variability, maximum activity heart rate, step count, and sleep duration and variability. Results: Among n=9150 adults (1274 with any use; 60.9% female; median age 53 years), weighted prevalence increased 46%, from 8.2% (March 2024) to 12.0% (October 2025) representing 32 million. Weight-loss indications grew, reaching nearly half of use (4.1% to 5.6%); diabetes-indicated use was stable (5.3% to 5.4%). Users carried high cardiometabolic burden (obesity, 68.2%; diabetes, 53.6%) but diverged by indication: diabetes-indicated users were older (median, 59 vs 49 years), whereas weight-loss-indicated users were more often female (69.9% vs 51.3%) and healthier. One in three users (~9 million) had non-traditional access, especially in weight-loss-indicated users, of whom 33% had no conventional prescription; 41% used compounding, online, or foreign pharmacies; and, 43% lacked coverage. Non-traditional users were five times as likely to report an unlisted, likely compounded formulation (19.8% vs 4.1%). All p<0.05. Conclusions and Relevance: Real-world GLP-1/GIP use has grown rapidly and diversified substantially in indication, access, and population profile. One in 3 users obtained treatment through nontraditional channels largely invisible to claims data, raising long-term safety, efficacy, and coverage questions. GLIMMER provides a public, nationally representative longitudinal evidence base for future payer and provider decisions.

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Left ventricular hypertrophy, brain atrophy and cognitive decline in type 2 diabetes mellitus: Diabetes & Dementia (D2) cohort study

Brodtmann, A.; Patel, S.; Restrepo, C.; Khlif, M. S.; Werden, E.; Ellis, R.; Alsawaf, S.; Ekinci, E. I.; Srivastava, P. M.; Ramchand, J.; MacIsaac, R. J.; Churilov, L.; Burrell, L. M.

2026-09-02 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.08.31.26361868 medRxiv
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BACKGROUND People with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) are at higher risk of cerebral small vessel disease and left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH), potentially contributing to cognitive decline and dementia. We aimed to describe brain volume and cognitive trajectories over 2 years in a cohort of people with T2DM and to determine whether LVH causes increased brain atrophy and cognitive decline. METHODS Diabetes and Dementia (D2) study is a multicentre observational cohort study in Melbourne, Australia. Participants aged >50 years were recruited via 2 hospital outpatient clinics, 3 private clinics, and study advertisements. Participants with pre-existing cognitive impairment, life-limiting medical illness, and severe chronic renal impairment were excluded. Participants attended study visits for brain MRI, transthoracic echocardiography (TTE), and cognitive testing at baseline and 2 years. The exposure was LVH determined on baseline TTE. Pre-specified outcomes were total brain volume (TBV) change and cognitive decline (z-score change?-1 in any cognitive domain) over 2 years. Regression analyses examined associations between baseline variables and outcomes. A causal inference approach was utilized using inverse probability of treatment weighting to standardize for confounding covariates, excluding participants for non-positivity on age and baseline TBV. RESULTS Participants were recruited 20May2016 to 20March2020: 2378 screened, 702 eligible, 196 consented, 150 baseline and 123 2-year assessments with complete MRI, TTE, and cognitive data (17.4% attrition). At baseline, LVH was associated with female sex, older age, lower educational attainment, lower mood, hypertension, obesity, beta-blocker use, and smaller TBV. Participants with baseline cognitive impairment exhibited greater brain atrophy. Lower educational attainment, hypertension, and lower baseline cognitive scores were associated with cognitive decline. Causal inference analysis included 62 participants with no LVH (20(32%) women; mean [SD]=66.9[5.9] years), and 31 with LVH (17(55%) women, 67.4[5.4] years). LVH caused lower TBV change: standardized mean difference (95% CI) 6.3 (0.1, 12.5) cm3, P=.048. LVH had no effect on cognitive decline. CONCLUSIONS Brain atrophy and cognitive decline were associated with baseline cognitive impairment. LVH caused less brain atrophy and cognitive decline in people with T2DM. We conclude that guideline-directed LVH therapies such as beta-blockers have both cardioprotective (remodelling) and neuroprotective effects. TRIAL REGISTRATION ACTRN12616000546459 UTN: U1111-1181-6659

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Publication Bias in Abstracts Presented at the American Diabetes Association Scientific Sessions: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Pinedo-Torres, I.; Taype-Rondan, A.; Vera-Luza, A. A.; Zegarra-Lizana, P. A.; Rojas-Vilca, J. L.; Yovera-Aldana, M.

2026-08-31 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.08.26.26361486 medRxiv
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Objective. To determine the publication rate of abstracts presented at the American Diabetes Association Scientific Sessions and to evaluate the association between statistical significance of study results and subsequent publication. Research Design and Methods. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of abstracts presented at the 2018 American Diabetes Association Scientific Sessions. The primary exposure was study result category (statistically significant vs. non-statistically significant findings), and the primary outcome was publication in an indexed journal within 5 years after conference presentation. Publication status was determined through PubMed/MEDLINE and Scopus searches. Adjusted relative risks (RRs) and 95% CIs were estimated using generalized linear models with Poisson distribution and robust variance. Results. Among 541 included abstracts, 321 (59.3%) were subsequently published in indexed journals. Abstracts reporting statistically significant findings had a higher publication rate than those reporting non-statistically significant findings (61.9% vs. 42.3%; p=0.002). In the adjusted analysis, abstracts with non-statistically significant findings had a lower likelihood of publication compared with those reporting statistically significant findings (adjusted RR 0.71 [95% CI 0.55-0.93]; p=0.013). Conclusions. Approximately four in ten abstracts presented at the ADA Scientific Sessions were not published within 5 years. Abstracts reporting non-statistically significant findings had a lower likelihood of subsequent publication, suggesting persistent publication bias in diabetology research. Future initiatives promoting the interpretation of effect estimates, confidence intervals and clinical relevance, rather than statistical significance alone, may help reduce selective dissemination of evidence

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Medial Plantar Nerve Shear Wave Elastography and Viscosity Imaging for Differentiating Mild from Moderate Diabetic Peripheral Neuropathy

Gao, X.; Li, Y.

2026-09-02 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361645 medRxiv
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Objective: To examine how medial plantar nerve shear wave speed (Cs) and viscosity coefficient (Vi) are associated with the severity of diabetic peripheral neuropathy (DPN), and to assess their ability to differentiate adjacent severity categories. Materials and Methods: Based on TCSS, the 113 patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus were assigned to the non-DPN (n = 33), mild DPN (n = 46), and moderate DPN (n = 34) groups. Medial plantar nerve Cs and Vi were measured using shear wave elastography and viscosity imaging. Receiver operating characteristic analysis evaluated Cs, Vi, and their logistic regression-based combination; areas under the curves (AUCs) were compared using DeLong tests. Results: Cs and Vi increased progressively across the three groups (both P < 0.001). For non-DPN versus mild DPN, the AUCs of Cs, Vi, and the combined model were 0.688 (95% CI, 0.604-0.772), 0.741 (0.660-0.822), and 0.745 (0.665-0.826), respectively, without significant pairwise differences. For mild versus moderate DPN, the corresponding AUCs were 0.707 (0.625-0.789), 0.794 (0.724-0.865), and 0.799 (0.731-0.867). The combined model outperformed Cs (P = 0.045), whereas Cs versus Vi and Vi versus the combined model did not differ significantly (P = 0.162 and 1.000, respectively). Conclusion: Medial plantar nerve Cs and Vi increased with DPN severity. Their combination improved discrimination between mild and moderate DPN compared with Cs alone but not with Vi alone. Quantitative medial plantar nerve viscoelastic assessment may complement clinical severity grading.

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Obesity Endotypes Unmask Heterogeneous Responses to Healthy Lifestyle Behaviors

Malik, D.; Kim, M. S.; Shim, I.; Sui, Y.; Abou-Karam, R.; Song, M.; Won, H.-H.; Natarajan, P.; Ellinor, P. T.; Fahed, A. C.

2026-08-31 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.08.25.26361367 medRxiv
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Background Lifestyle interventions are central to obesity prevention and management, yet interindividual variability in response remains incompletely understood. Here, we leveraged genetically defined, distinct obesity endotypes to examine lifestyle-body mass index (BMI) associations across biological pathways. Methods In the UK Biobank, we analyzed 305,713 participants with partitioned polygenic scores (pPSs) representing 10 obesity endotypes. We evaluated interactions between endotype-specific genetic susceptibility and physical activity, diet, sedentary behavior, and sleep on BMI using multivariable linear regression. Primary findings were externally evaluated in the All of Us Research Program using Fitbit-derived lifestyle measures. Results Favorable lifestyle behaviors were associated with lower BMI for all obesity endotypes, but the magnitude of these associations varied significantly across endotypes. Higher endotype-specific pPSs strengthened the benefits of physical activity (7 endotypes), healthy diet (3 endotypes), nonsedentary behavior (5 endotypes), and adequate sleep (7 endotypes) on BMI. Distinct endotypes demonstrated the greatest responsiveness to different lifestyle domains, with the metabolically unhealthy endotype showing the strongest interaction with physical activity, metabolically healthy endotype with sedentary behavior, hypothalamic dysregulation endotype with diet, and hypoinsulin 2 endotype with sleep, corresponding to differences in BMI of 0.22-0.49 kg/m2 between the highest and lowest pPS deciles. These interaction patterns were consistent in the All of Us cohort. Conclusions Obesity endotypes modify the association between lifestyle behaviors and BMI, demonstrating that responsiveness to lifestyle behaviors is heterogeneous and pathway dependent. These findings provide a framework for precision obesity prevention by identifying individuals who may derive greater benefit from specific lifestyle interventions.

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Inferential instability of national sugar and sweetener availability as an indicator of adult obesity trajectories: A global within-between panel audit

Nkulikwa, Z. A.

2026-08-31 public and global health 10.64898/2026.08.25.26360957 medRxiv
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The analysis uses a global 2010-2023 panel comprising 3,038 economy-years across 217 economies. It explicitly separates between-economy and within-economy estimands and tests the longitudinal interpretation using an identical-sample temporal analysis with cluster-aware coefficient contrasts, a formal isometric log-ratio sensitivity analysis, independent fixed-effects replication, and wild-cluster-bootstrap inference. The central finding is deliberately calibrated: cross-economy agreement cannot validate national sugar availability for longitudinal obesity surveillance. The study identifies temporal and construct instability without claiming that sugar is protective or that the mechanisms producing the instability have been identified. The manuscript aligns well with PLOS ONEs emphasis on technically sound, transparent and reproducible research of broad relevance. All data required to reproduce the findings, complete metadata, executable code, full-precision results, diagnostic outputs and a completed STROBE checklist are provided as S1-S5. Figures are provided separately as compliant 350-dpi TIFF files. The study used only publicly available, aggregated economy-year statistics and involved no individual participants, identifiable information or biological specimens; institutional ethics review and consent were therefore not required. This is original work; it is not under consideration elsewhere, and the sole author has approved the submission and accepts responsibility for its content. Funding and competing-interest declarations will be entered accurately in the submission portal. An Academic Editor with expertise in nutritional epidemiology, global health metrics, longitudinal panel methods, or food-system surveillance would be well placed to assess the work.

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Genetic nurture and direct genetic transmission effects on body mass index across age

Trindade Pons, V.; Gillespie, N.; Smit, R. A. J.; Arias, J. D.; Yin, X.; Berndt, S. I.; Oldehinkel, A. J.; van Loo, H.

2026-09-02 public and global health 10.64898/2026.08.31.26361795 medRxiv
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Obesity is a growing public health challenge, with body mass index (BMI) influenced by both genetic and environmental factors. While the role of direct genetic transmission is well established, evidence for genetic nurture effects, in which parental genotypes impact offspring through the environment, has remained mixed. This study investigates direct genetic transmission and genetic nurture effects on BMI across ages, using parent-offspring trios and pairs from the Dutch Lifelines cohort study (N = 18,897 offspring, aged 8 to 67 years). We leveraged the latest multi-ancestry BMI polygenic score (PGS) to construct transmitted (PGS-T) and non-transmitted (PGS-NT) polygenic scores, where PGS-NT consists of parental alleles not passed on to offspring and serves as a proxy for genetic nurture. Linear mixed models showed a large effect of PGS-T on offspring BMI (Beta = 0.416, p < 0.001), corresponding to a 1.85 kg/m2 increase per SD increase in PGS-T. PGS-NT had a small but significant effect (Beta = 0.026, p = 0.013), consistent with a genetic nurture effect accounting for approximately 6.6% of the effect of direct transmission. Parent-of-origin analyses showed that maternal PGS-NT effects were larger than paternal effects. PGS-T interactions with age indicated that direct transmission effects increased in childhood and stabilized in adulthood, while PGS-NT effects remained stable across age. Our findings suggest that direct genetic transmission is the dominant influence on BMI, while results are consistent with small genetic nurture effects that are driven by the maternal side.

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Acceptability, feasibility, quality of life and diabetes distress score outcomes: A pragmatic randomised clinical trial on continuous glucose monitoring for people with type 1 diabetes

Marban-Castro, E.; Muhwava, L.; Girdwood, S.; Kemp, T.; Freitas, J.; Kamau, Y.; Otieno, M.; Akach, D.; Morato, A.; Sanz, S.; Fiechter, V.; Erkosar, B.; Watson, M.; Vetter, B.; Haldane, C.; Shilton, S.; Rheeder, P.; Dave, J. A.; Carrihill, M.; Karsas, M.

2026-08-31 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.08.26.26361479 medRxiv
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Introduction: Continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) offers an advancement over traditional self-monitoring of blood glucose (SMBG) for people living with type 1 diabetes (T1D). However, evidence on the acceptability and feasibility of different CGM use cases in African populations remains limited. Methods: This was a pragmatic three-arm, randomised controlled trial on CGM conducted among people living with T1D in three public healthcare clinics in South Africa. Participants were assigned to Arm 1 (continuous CGM), Arm 2 (periodic CGM), or Arm 3 (SMBG). Diabetes education was provided at all study visits. Feasibility was assessed by adherence to CGM use and through the Glucose Monitoring Satisfaction Survey (GMSS). Diabetes distress was measured by the Diabetes Distress Scale (DDS), health-related quality of life (HRQoL) by the EQ-5D scales, and acceptability using the Theoretical Framework of Acceptability (TFA). Surveys were collected on paper and transferred to OpenClinica. Analyses were performed in R. The trial was registered in the Clinical Trials Registry (NCT05944718) on July 13, 2023. Results: A total of 83 participants were included in Arm 1, 85 in Arm 2, and 80 in Arm 3. CGM mean active time was 55% in Arm 1 versus 69% in Arm 2. The proportion of participants meeting the [&ge;]70% active time threshold was higher in Arm 2 (52%) than in Arm 1 (34%). Diabetes' distress declined across arms during the intervention period, with no significant difference between arms; distress increased slightly six months post-intervention but remained below baseline. At 6 months, glucose monitoring satisfaction was significantly higher in both CGM arms than in the SMBG arm, and satisfaction increased over time in CGM arms. Health-related quality of life remained stable across arms during the intervention period with no significant difference between arms. High acceptability was observed in both CGM arms, with higher ratings in the periodic arm. Conclusions: CGM was acceptable to people living with type 1 diabetes and feasible to use in public-sector clinics in South Africa, with high acceptability under continuous and periodic use. Health-related quality of life remained stable across arms, and diabetes-related distress declined, during the intervention period, across arms. Glucose monitoring satisfaction rose significantly in both CGM arms compared to SMBG. Periodic CGM might be a promising and potentially more scalable option than continuous use for public-sector care.

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Adding salt to foods and risk of incident infection

Yuan, Y.; Qiao, Y.; Chen, X.; Wang, Y.; Zhao, W.; Zheng, X.; Zhang, X.; Niu, G.; Wu, Y.

2026-08-31 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.08.26.26361489 medRxiv
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Background Excess sodium intake is a major contributor to the global burden of disease, but its role in infection susceptibility remains largely unexplored. Although sodium has been considered antimicrobial, high sodium intake may impair immune responses and host defense. We therefore examined whether habitual addition of salt to foods was associated with the long-term risk of incident infections. Methods We included 360,314 UK Biobank participants without prior hospital-treated infections. Frequency of adding salt to foods was self-reported at baseline. Incident infections were identified using ICD-10 codes from hospital and death records. Associations were assessed using multivariable Cox regression. Results Over a median follow-up of 14.3 years, 84?146 participants developed hospital-treated infections. Compared with those who never or rarely added salt, participants who sometimes, usually, and always added salt had progressively higher risks of incident infections (adjusted hazard ratios 1.04 [95% CI 1.03?1.06], 1.08 [1.06?1.11], and 1.29 [1.26?1.33], respectively; p for trend <0.001). The association remained robust across models and broadly consistent across pathogen types and infection sites. The association appeared stronger among participants with normal weight (P for interaction <0.001). Conclusions Habitual addition of salt to foods was associated with a dose-dependent higher risk of hospital-treated infections in this large prospective cohort. These findings extend the potential health relevance of excess sodium intake beyond cardiometabolic disease and suggest that lower habitual salt intake may have implications for infection risk. Further studies are needed to replicate these findings and clarify the underlying immunological mechanisms.

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A Randomized Controlled Trial Evaluating a Community-Based, Family Network Heart Health Intervention - the SERVE OC Trial: Design, Rationale and Baseline Findings

Boden-Albala, B.; Wing, J.; Landry, M. J.; Castro, M.; Gutierrez, D.; Cardenas, C.; Rousseau, J.; Rahmani, A. M.; Chavez, A.; Ding, X.; Kurzman, A.; Albala, B.

2026-09-02 public and global health 10.64898/2026.08.31.26361871 medRxiv
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Background: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) disproportionately burdens underserved communities, where social determinants of health (SDOH) perpetuate persistent disparities. Family-based interventions leveraging social support represent a promising yet understudied approach. We describe the rationale, design, and methods of the Skills-based Educational strategies for the Reduction of Vascular Events in Orange County (SERVE OC) RCT and present baseline characteristics of enrolled families. Methods: SERVE OC is a 2-arm RCT of 190 Latino and Vietnamese families (486 individuals) randomized to the family-based intervention or individual self-management. The intervention was grounded in social network theory while employing community engaged strategies. Primary outcomes include achieving ideal cardiovascular health (CVH) defined by AHA Life's Essential 8 (LE8) and systolic blood pressure reduction at 12, 24, and 36 months. Baseline assessments include demographics, LE8, psychosocial factors, food security, and SDOH. Descriptive statistics and regression analyses examined cohort characteristics and associations between SDOH, food security, and LE8. Results: Over 83% of participants had suboptimal LE8 scores. Average adult total LE8 scores were 66.61 {plus minus}11.96, with physical activity as the weakest domain, compared to an average of 76.52{plus minus}10.15 in children. Greater SDOH burden and food security were associated with significantly lower odds of ideal CVH and lower LE8 scores respectively. Conclusions: SERVE OC demonstrates the feasibility of enrolling families in community-engaged RCT targeting CVD disparities in underserved population. Baseline findings confirm substantial CVD risk and SDOH burden underscoring the need for multi-level, culturally tailored interventions. Trials results will inform scalable, family-focused strategies for CVD prevention across the life course. Clinical Trial Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov/; Unique Identifier: NCT05641519.

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A Scalable Biological Clock for Metabolic Disease Prediction from the Phenome India Cohort

Tiwari, P.; Garg, M.; Pattanayak, S.; Sarkar, I.; Roy, R.; Bhatraju, N.; Verma, A.; K, S. R.; Prakash, S.; Kumar, V. S.; Uddin, M. A.; Rawat, N.; Sahu, A.; Kumar, Y.; Leuva, P. H.; Mridha, A.; Yenamandra, V.; Singh, A. P.; Mishra, A.; Raychaudhuri, S.; Tallapaka, K. B.; Chandak, G. R.; Kulkarni, M. J.; Dharne, M.; Wahengbam, R.; Kalita, J.; Manna, P.; Subudhi, U.; Majumder, S.; Chakraborty, P.; Chaudhary, K.; Sengupta, S.; Phenome India Consortium, ; Sardana, V.; Chatterjee, S.; Ganguly, D.

2026-09-03 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.08.29.26361656 medRxiv
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Background: India has a rising incidence of chronic non-communicable diseases, making it a major healthcare burden today. Growing evidence suggests that chronic low-grade inflammation links ageing with cardiometabolic disorders, captured by the emerging concept of inflammaging. However, most evidence on biological ageing comes from Western populations, with no similar models developed for the Indian population. Given the country's distinctive genetic makeup, unique exposome, and heterogeneous NCD presentation, Western models may not capture inflammaging and its effects in the Indian population. Methods: We analysed baseline data from 4,240 adults in the Phenome India CSIR Health Cohort Knowledgebase (PI CheCK), a nationwide multi-centre cohort. Participants were stratified into eight cardiometabolic phenotype groups by BMI (Asian cut off), blood pressure and HbA1c status. We trained a Super Learner ensemble to predict chronological age in the lean normotensive-normoglycaemic reference group (n=615) using 44 plasma cytokines, sex, haemoglobin, and bioimpedance-derived visceral fat area, per cent body fat, and total body water. Performance was assessed by repeated five-fold cross-validation and in a held-out healthy test set. Calibrated biological age acceleration was then estimated in the remaining 3,625 participants. Results: Median age was 51.0 years (IQR 41.0 to 62.0) and 49.4% were female. The Super Learner outperformed elastic net and XGBoost comparators. Permutation importance identified visceral fat area, per cent body fat, CTACK, SDF1a, haemoglobin and sex as leading contributors, with body composition measures accounting for the largest share, indicating an immune-metabolic rather than cytokine-only signal. Biological age acceleration was concentrated in overweight/obese phenotypes. Lean phenotypes showed acceleration close to the reference (0.32 0.50 years). Conclusions: Cytokine and body composition measures capture a quantifiable immunometabolic ageing signal in a South Asian cohort, with acceleration driven predominantly by adiposity. External validation and longitudinal follow up are required.

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Usability, acceptability and feasibility of continuous glucose monitoring among children and adolescents with type 1 diabetes in Kenya

Amolo, P.; Mungai, L.; Karume, A. K.; Kibugi, J.; Mwende, W.; Botella, N.; Haldane, C.; Kamau, Y.; Marban-Castro, E.

2026-09-01 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.08.27.26361447 medRxiv
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Introduction Continuous Glucose Monitoring (CGM) is considered standard care in high-income countries. There is, however, limited published evidence on CGM use in low- and middle-income countries. The purpose of this study was to assess the usability, acceptability, and feasibility of CGM use among people living with type 1 diabetes (T1D) and caregivers in a low-resource setting. Research Design and Methods This prospective study conducted at the Kenyatta National Hospital purposively enrolled persons aged 4-25 years who had been on management for T1D for at least six months, and caregivers of those under 18 years. Fourty youth living with T1D used CGM for three months in place of self monitoring of blood glucose (SMBG). The System Usability Scale (SUS), a Theoretical Framework of Acceptability-based questionnaire, the Diabetes Distress Scale (DDS), the Glucose Monitoring Satisfaction Survey (GMSS), and a feasibility survey were administered. Outcomes were summarized descriptively, including means, medians, and frequencies using R statistical software. Results The median SUS score was 98.8 (IQR 92.5-100.0). Acceptability was high, and the median total GMSS score improved from 3.73 to 4.73. Among adolescents and adults, the median overall DDS score reduced from 1.54 to 1.36, with reductions in scores in all domains, except for hypoglycemia distress which increased, and physician distress which remained low. Among caregivers, the median overall DDS score declined from 2.05 (moderate distress) to 1.90 (low distress), with modest reductions in teen management and parent-teen relationship distress and a slight increase in personal distress. Median CGM active wear time was 89%. Conclusion This study comprehensively evaluated CGM across usability, acceptability, and feasibility outcomes, with the findings supporting the integration of CGM into routine diabetes management in low-resource settings. The short follow-up period, however, may not capture changing perceptions or long-term adherence.

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Adverse drug withdrawal event signals in FAERS and Eudravigilance databases: a stratified disproportionality analysis study

Khan, Z.; McCarthy, C.; Dalton, K.; Jungo, K. T.; Doherty, A. S.; Reeve, E.; Moriarty, F.

2026-08-31 pharmacology and therapeutics 10.64898/2026.08.29.26361707 medRxiv
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Background: Adverse drug withdrawal events (ADWEs) are a key safety concern during deprescribing but remain poorly explored in pharmacovigilance systems. Objectives: To identify and compare ADWE signals across drug classes, different drugs within drug classes, and across patient characteristics, countries, and over time. Methods: A case/non-case disproportionality analysis was conducted in FDA-FAERS and EMA-EudraVigilance pharmacovigilance databases, with stratification by age (adults: 18-64, older adults: [&ge;]65), sex (male/female), reporting time (2004-2023 in 5-year intervals), and country (for EMA data). Disproportionality analysis (quantitative signal detection) was used to detect signals between ADWEs and drugs using the proportional reporting rate (PRR[&ge;]2), reporting odds ratio (ROR>1), and information component (IC>0) with case count [&ge;]5. Results: Overall, 158,501 reports (FDA-FAERS 145,514; EMA-EudraVigilance 12,987) included drug-event pairs related to ADWEs. In FDA-FAERS, clobetasone (IC=5.58; PRR=79.18; ROR=176.90) showed the strongest ADWE signals, followed by hydromorphone (4.85; 29.94; 37.37), hydrocodone, and paroxetine. In EMA-EudraVigilance, ethyl loflazepate (IC=6.01; PRR=119.80; ROR=197.53), clobetasone (5.39; 102.73; 155.10), veralipride, and levomethadone had the strongest signals. Most drugs maintained positive ADWE signals in analysis stratified into adults and older adults. However, among the top 10 drugs (based on highest IC values), buprenorphine/naloxone, desvenlafaxine, and baclofen in FDA-FAERS (ICs 4.95-6.05) showed stronger signals in older adults. A sex-based difference was observed, with paroxetine, venlafaxine, and buprenorphine/naloxone showing a stronger positive signal in females in both databases, whereas several opioids had stronger signals in males versus females across both databases. Conclusion: This study suggests ADWE signals for some medications differ by age and sex, potentially indicating different risks for withdrawal effects.

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Long-Term Impact of Cumulative Hyperglycaemia on DNA Methylation and its Role in Diabetic Kidney Disease

Luo, X.; Syreeni, A.; Hill, C.; Smyth, L. J.; Dahlstrom, E. H.; Mutter, S.; Chen, Z.; Natarajan, R.; Pan, S.; Parton, A.; Jackson, H.; McKay, G.; Susztak, K.; Hirschhorn, J. N.; Florez, J. C.; Maxwell, A. P.; Groop, P.-H.; McKnight, A. J.; Sandholm, N.

2026-09-03 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.08.31.26361614 medRxiv
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Hyperglycaemia is a hallmark of diabetes and a major risk factor for diabetic kidney disease (DKD). However, the molecular consequences of long-term cumulative hyperglycaemia (CH) remain unclear. As a stable epigenetic modification, DNA methylation may capture past glycaemic exposure. Here, we assessed CH-associated DNA methylation in 1,245 participants with type 1 diabetes (T1D) from Finland and the United Kingdom-Republic of Ireland cohorts. We identified 17 CH-associated CpGs, with the strongest association at cg19693031 (TXNIP). Longitudinal analyses demonstrate that these CH-associated DNA methylation levels remain stable despite short-term glycaemic fluctuations, suggesting lasting epigenetic imprints of earlier metabolic control. Integrative analyses combining genomic, epigenetic, and proteomic data characterized these CpGs and potential target proteins. Mendelian randomization suggested a causal association between cg20853880 (KLF11) and DKD, supported by chromatin accessibility and kidney KLF11 expression. Our findings suggest that epigenetic changes contribute to metabolic memory and may mediate the effects of hyperglycaemia on DKD.

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Projected Population-Level Impact of Digital Return of Results for Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic Screening at US Blood Donation Centers: A Monte Carlo Simulation Study

Qian, Z.; Khera, A.; Makhnoon, S.; Chapman, B. E.; Bryant, B.; Sayers, M.; Compton, F.; Eason, S.; Xing, C.; Ahmad, Z.

2026-09-03 public and global health 10.64898/2026.09.01.26360806 medRxiv
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Background. Cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome affects nearly 90% of US adults, yet most individuals at early, modifiable stages remain unidentified outside clinical care. Blood donation centers offer a scalable, non-clinical venue for CKM screening, but the potential benefit of screening in this context remains unclear. We projected the population-level impact of effective digital return of results (ROR) to inform the design of a pragmatic trial. Methods. We developed a Monte Carlo simulation (100,000 iterations) of the incident major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), end-stage renal disease (ESRD), and type 2 diabetes (T2DM) preventable by ROR-prompted, guideline-concordant follow-up among donors in CKM Stages 1-2. The estimand counts only events averted by donors who act because of ROR; the intervention effect was modeled directly on strictly positive support, and action was translated into prevented events through a hazard-based cumulative-incidence difference that counts each donor at most once. We evaluated 18 design cells (donor volumes 300,000, 1 million, and 8 million/year; 5- and 10-year horizons; action-rate gains of +10, +20, and +30 percentage points [pp]) and, in a complementary two-arm simulation, the assurance (expected power) of detecting the effect in a single deployment. Results. Under the primary +20 pp scenario, ROR at a single large blood center (300,000 donors/year) is projected to prevent a median of 2,201 events (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 1,099-4,364) over 10 years, scaling to 58,526 (29,154-116,769) at the national donor pool. All 18 design cells had strictly positive 95% lower bounds. The number needed to screen was 136 and the screening cost $2,045 per event prevented (at $15/donor), both invariant to donor volume. Impact scaled linearly with volume and effect size but sub-linearly with the horizon. Detection of the effect was effectively certain at gains of +20 pp or larger (assurance [&ge;]99.6% in every cell and >99.9% in all but the smallest 5-year cell). Conclusions. Even under the conservative scenario, digital CKM ROR at blood donation centers is projected to prevent hundreds to tens of thousands of incident cardiometabolic events at a screening cost per event well within accepted prevention benchmarks, providing prospective, quantitative justification for a pragmatic, randomized evaluation of digital ROR in non-clinical screening settings.

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Relation of Self-Reported Race and Genetic Ancestry to Hypertension Prevalence Among Hispanics/Latinos: The Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos

Montanez-Valverde, R. A.; Kim, V.; Duran-Luciano, P.; Yuan, Y.; Sofer, T.; Kaplan, R. C.; Gallo, L. C.; Talavera, G. A.; Perreira, K. M.; Daviglus, M. L.; Rosas, S. E.; Llabre, M. M.; Elfassy, T.; Li, X.; Isasi, C. R.; Rodriguez, C. J.

2026-09-03 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.09.01.26361995 medRxiv
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Background. The imprecision of current metrics to capture the complex genetic admixture and racial identity among Hispanic/Latino individuals in the United States [US] is a concern. We examined the relationship of self-reported race and genetic ancestry with hypertension [HTN] among Hispanics/Latinos. Methods. Cross-sectional study of the Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos (HCHS/SOL), including 10,586 Hispanic/Latino unrelated adults. Genetic ancestry: West African [AA], Amerindian [AI], and European [EA]. Self-reported race: White, Black, Native American, or Multiple/Missing (More than one race or Unknown/Not reported/Refused). HTN: systolic (SBP) [&ge;]130 mmHg, diastolic blood pressure (DBP) [&ge;]80 mmHg, and/or use of HTN medications. Age- and sex adjusted models were used. Results. Self-reported race was White (38{middle dot}6%), Black (3{middle dot}6%), Native American (4{middle dot}1%), and Multiple/Missing (53{middle dot}7%), with Unknown/Not reported/Refused representing 32{middle dot}7%. Black and White Hispanics/Latinos had the greatest AA (55{middle dot}7%) and EA (69{middle dot}3%) ancestries, respectively. Each 10% AA increase was associated with OR 1{middle dot}15, SBP beta +0{middle dot}9 mmHg, and DBP beta +0{middle dot}7 mmHg. Conversely, each 10% AI increase was associated with OR 0{middle dot}83, SBP beta -0{middle dot}4 mmHg, and DBP beta -0{middle dot}6 mmHg. HTN prevalence was highest among those with Black race or in the highest AA quantile (45{middle dot}6% and 48{middle dot}0%, respectively), and lowest among those with Native American race or in the highest AI quantile (37{middle dot}6% and 26{middle dot}7%, respectively). Conclusion. One-third of Hispanics/Latinos did not self-report race. Black or White self-reporting race did somewhat relate to AA or EA ancestry, respectively. HTN profiles were related to self-reported race and genetic ancestry in this admixed population.

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Urinary collagen type I degradation products as common fibrosis biomarkers in chronic diseases

Mina, I. K.; Hussain, Y.; Siwy, J.; Catanese, L.; Rupprecht, H.; Beige, J.; Staessen, J. A.; Metzger, J.; Persson, F.; Rossing, P.; Delles, C.; Schanstra, J. P.; Bannaga, A.; Vlahou, A.; Mischak, H.; Arasaradnam, R. P.; Latosinska, A.

2026-08-31 nephrology 10.64898/2026.08.26.26361420 medRxiv
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Background: Fibrosis, characterised by excessive accumulation of collagen type I (COL1), is a common feature of chronic diseases, including liver diseases (LDs), chronic kidney disease (CKD) and heart failure (HF). COL1 degradation products can be detected in urine by proteomics/ peptidomics analyses and may serve as non-invasive biomarkers of fibrosis. We aimed to identify a common molecular signature of fibrosis across these diseases that may ultimately guide interventions to slow disease progression and prevent organ damage. Methods: Using capillary electrophoresis coupled to mass spectrometry (CE-MS), naturally occurring COL1 degradation products (peptides) in the urine of patients with fibrotic disease, LDs (n=127), CKD (n=263) or HF (n=187), were investigated and compared with the same number of matched controls. Disease-associated COL1 peptides were identified separately for each condition, and peptides showing consistent associations across the three diseases were selected to define a common fibrosis signature. A support vector machine model based on the selected peptides was developed and validated in independent cohorts of patients with LDs (n=110), CKD (n=93), HF (n=32) and controls (n=643). Results: We identified a common fibrotic signature consisting of 50 COL1 degradation products, mainly downregulated in fibrosis. A model based on these peptides achieved a strong performance, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.935 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.917-0.953, p<0.0001) in an external validation cohort comprising pooled disease groups (LDs, CKD, and HF) and controls. Performance was maintained in LDs, CKD and HF, with AUCs of 0.917 (95% CI 0.890-0.944, p<0.0001), 0.951 (95% CI 0.931-0.971, p<0.0001) and 0.950 (95% CI 0.903-0.997, p<0.0001), respectively. The model scores were significantly associated with fibrosis stage in LDs (p=0.0097) and with interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy in CKD (p=0.045). Conclusion: A model of urinary COL1 peptides captures a shared collagen degradation signature across organs and diseases, enabling the non-invasive assessment of fibrosis irrespective of its origin. As these peptides exclusively reflect collagen degradation, the findings suggest impaired collagen degradation as a driver in fibrosis. Future clinical studies are warranted to evaluate the utility of this model for early fibrosis detection and earlier implementation of anti-fibrotic interventions.

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Young people with obesity and rare disease - genotypes, phenotypes and healthcare use

Chia, C.; Baker, K.

2026-08-31 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.08.25.26361359 medRxiv
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Obesity is a significant public health concern. Early-onset obesity in the context of rare disease can reflect genetically-mediated pathology or elevated susceptibility through indirect mechanisms. Mapping the diverse characteristics and needs of young people with obesity in the rare disease population is a first step toward mechanistic and translational research. We carried out a retrospective comparative analysis of demographic, genotypic, phenotypic and health service utilisation data for young people with obesity (cases: n=500) and without obesity (controls: n=11,444) from the UK 100,000 Genomes Project rare disease cohort. Cases and controls were recruited prior to genomic diagnosis, across clinical disorder categories. We observed significant association between socioeconomic deprivation and obesity risk. Young people with obesity had significantly higher utilisations of acute care and mental health services, indicating an overall higher health burden. A curated panel of 519 candidate obesity-associated genes demonstrated aggregate association with obesity, although no single gene reached significance. Phenotypic comparison between cases and controls highlighted increased multi-organ and neurological system involvement, highlighting the overlap between neurodevelopmental and obesity risks. Within the case group, we conducted cluster analysis to identify early-onset obesity groups with different phenotypic profiles, potentially arising from different causal pathways - this identified six obesity subgroups of interest, with differing involvement of neurodevelopmental and other systems. Our study confirms that obesity co-occurs with a wide range of factors within the rare disease population, and is associated with significant physical and mental health needs, requiring holistic lifelong care.

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Hiatal Hernia Size and De Novo Gastroesophageal Reflux Disease After Sleeve Gastrectomy: A Single-Center Retrospective Study

Ricarte Almeida, E. R.; Mata Quintero, C. J.; Sesma Chazaro, J.; Peralta Rivera, C.; Arteaga Gonzalez, C. D.

2026-09-02 surgery 10.64898/2026.08.31.26361833 medRxiv
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Background: Sleeve gastrectomy is the most frequently performed bariatric procedure worldwide but is associated with the development of de novo gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD). Hiatal hernia has been identified as a relevant anatomical factor in postoperative reflux, although most studies evaluate it dichotomously without analyzing whether its size influences GERD risk. The aim was to evaluate the association between preoperative hiatal hernia size and de novo GERD after sleeve gastrectomy. Methods: Retrospective, single - center, observational study of patients undergoing sleeve gastrectomy at Hospital Central Norte de Petroleos Mexicanos (2018 - 2025). Demographic and clinical characteristics, endoscopic classification of hiatal hernia size (small <2 cm, medium 2.1 - 4 cm, large >4 cm), and evidence of de novo GERD were analyzed using descriptive statistics, Fisher's exact test, odds ratio (=R) estimation with 95% confidence intervals (CI), and binary logistic regression. Statistical significance was set at p<0.05. Results: Fiftysix patients were included (mean age 48.3 {+/-} 8.1 years; 67.9% male). Hiatal hernia classification was conclusive in 46 patients (82.1%): 63.0% no hernia, 4.3% small, 30.4% medium, and 2.2% large. De novo GERD occurred in 14.0% of patients without preexisting GERD (6/43). No significant association was found between hiatal hernia size and de novo GERD (Fisher p=0.515). In the reduced logistic model, neither hiatal hernia (medium/large vs. absent/small; OR 3.47; 95% CI 0.50 - 29.43; p=0.207) nor age (OR 1.02; 95% CI 0.90 - 1.13; p=0.754) was significantly associated. No evaluated factor (sex, smoking, alcohol, age) reached significance. Conclusions: In this cohort, no statistically significant association was demonstrated between preoperative hiatal hernia size and de novo GERD after sleeve gastrectomy; however, the low number of events limits the ability to exclude a clinically relevant association. These findings are compatible with a multifactorial mechanism rather than with the isolated presence of this finding. Prospective studies with larger sample sizes and standardized reflux assessment instruments are required to confirm these results.